UNSETTLED

Public outcome ledger

Counts include misses. The report never hides an outcome because it contradicted the original call.

RAW REPORT PAYLOAD

{
  "address": "0xf25620f89d0e23a8ba7b11ab3235b66268794196",
  "chain": "base",
  "depth": "full",
  "tier": "FREE",
  "score": 32,
  "grade": "F",
  "risk_level": "CRITICAL",
  "flags": [
    "high_holder_concentration"
  ],
  "free_tier_result": {
    "verdict": "UNHEALTHY",
    "reason": "Despite revoked authorities and some liquidity, the extremely high holder concentration in individual wallets for a token of this age and market cap indicates significant centralization risk and potential for price manipulation or a slow rug.",
    "label": "AI Verdict",
    "checks": {
      "contract_verified": true,
      "token_age_days": 157,
      "liquidity_usd": 501474.33,
      "holder_count": 959,
      "has_liquidity_pool": true,
      "chain": "base"
    },
    "risk_level": "high",
    "key_findings": [
      "Token age is 157 days, suggesting it's past the initial launch phase.",
      "Market Cap of $3.3M with $501K in liquidity is a reasonable liquidity ratio (~15%).",
      "Mint Authority is Revoked (safe).",
      "Freeze Authority is Revoked (safe).",
      "LP Status is unlocked, which is standard.",
      "Top 10 holders control 89.0% of the supply.",
      "Crucially, 0.0% of the top 10 holdings are identified as protocol-controlled (LP, staking, treasury), meaning the entire 89.0% is held by individual wallets.",
      "24h volume of $32K is very low for a $3.3M market cap, indicating low trading interest or activity.",
      "RugCheck data is N/A, which is neutral."
    ],
    "confidence": 0.9
  },
  "goplus": {
    "source": "goplus",
    "api_available": true,
    "goplus_available": true,
    "goplus_status_message": null,
    "is_mintable": false,
    "is_honeypot": false,
    "holder_count": 959,
    "lp_holder_count": 13,
    "top_10_holder_rate": 0.8902,
    "top10_holders_pct": 89.02,
    "is_open_source": true,
    "is_proxy": false,
    "lp_burned_or_locked": null,
    "security_findings": [
      {
        "source": "goplus",
        "code": "TOP10_CONCENTRATION",
        "severity": "high",
        "message": "Top 10 holders concentration is very high",
        "value": 89.02
      }
    ]
  },
  "security_findings": [
    {
      "source": "goplus",
      "code": "TOP10_CONCENTRATION",
      "severity": "high",
      "message": "Top 10 holders concentration is very high",
      "value": 89.02
    }
  ],
  "scanned_at": "2026-04-20T13:23:10.411001Z",
  "cached": false,
  "cached_at": null,
  "liquidity_exposure_cap_usd": 3761.06,
  "summary": "Infinity Rising (RISE) is a base token with $3.3M market cap, 157 days old.  Key concerns: security risks, tokenomics concerns. Overall verdict: F — critical risk — not recommended.",
  "token": {
    "vol_liq_ratio": 0.06,
    "name": "Infinity Rising",
    "symbol": "RISE",
    "chain": "base",
    "price_usd": 0.00353751,
    "mcap": 3333724,
    "market_cap": 3333724,
    "volume_24h": 32196,
    "liquidity_usd": 501474.33,
    "contract_age_days": 157,
    "contract_verified": true,
    "holder_count": 959,
    "top10_holders_pct": 89.02,
    "holders_by_acquisition": null,
    "holder_change_24h": null,
    "holder_change_7d": null,
    "holder_change_30d": null,
    "holder_supply_top10_pct": null,
    "holder_supply_top25_pct": null,
    "holder_supply_top50_pct": null,
    "holder_supply_top100_pct": null,
    "exchange_wallet_pct": null,
    "net_exchange_flow_24h_usd": null,
    "top_holders": null,
    "top10_whale_pct": null,
    "top10_protocol_pct": null,
    "mint_authority": null,
    "freeze_authority": null,
    "mutable_metadata": null,
    "lp_burned_or_locked": "unlocked",
    "lp_locked_pct": 0,
    "lp_burned_pct": 0,
    "lp_unlocked_pct": 100,
    "lp_lock_expiry": null,
    "lp_locker_name": null,
    "social_links": {
      "website": "https://infinityrising.com",
      "twitter": "https://twitter.com/InfinityRisingX",
      "telegram": "https://t.me/infinityrisingx",
      "discord": "https://discord.com/invite/InfinityRising"
    },
    "creator_balance_pct": null,
    "authority_governance": null,
    "goplus_trusted": true,
    "goplus_available": true,
    "goplus_status_message": null,
    "bundle_detected": false,
    "is_honeypot": false
  },
  "bots": {
    "TechnicianBot": {
      "score": 3.5,
      "sentiment": "neutral",
      "category": "Technical",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI on-chain (GPT-4o Mini); Infinity Rising shows a mixed on-chain picture with a relatively low transaction count and high top-holder concentration, indicating potential fragility in liquidity and distribution. While the token has a verified contract and is listed on multiple exchanges, the high concentration among top holders raises concerns about the token's structural integrity.",
        "positives": [
          "Verified contract provides assurance of legitimacy",
          "Listed on 4 exchanges, enhancing accessibility",
          "Market cap of $3.3M suggests some level of interest"
        ],
        "concerns": [
          "Top 10 holders control 89.02% of the supply, indicating extreme concentration",
          "Low transaction count (38 in 24h) suggests limited trading activity",
          "Liquidity depth ($501,474.33) is relatively thin compared to market cap",
          "confidence 0.60"
        ],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.6
    },
    "TokenomicsBot": {
      "score": 3,
      "sentiment": "bearish",
      "category": "Tokenomics",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI tokenomics (Gemini 2.5 Flash); The token exhibits extremely high insider concentration with the top 10 holders controlling 89.02% of the supply, posing a significant risk of price manipulation and sell-offs. This is compounded by a low MCap/FDV ratio of 0.38, indicating substantial future dilution, and 100% of the LP tokens being unlocked. While the liquidity-to-market cap ratio of 15% appears healthy, the extreme centralization and dilution overhang make the tokenomics structure fragile.; unlock risk 85/100; + Healthy liquidity-to-market cap ratio of 15%., Listed on multiple venues (4), including a centralized exchange (MEXC), which provides some trading access., Contract is verified on the Base chain.; risks: Extreme holder concentration (89.02% in top 10) creates a high risk of price manipulation and dumping., 100% of liquidity pool tokens are unlocked, posing a severe rug pull risk., Significant dilution risk with a low MCap/FDV ratio of 0.38, implying more than 60% of the supply is not yet in circulation., Very low holder count (959) for an established token with a $3.3M market cap, indicating a lack of broad distribution.; confidence 0.70",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.7
    },
    "DevilsAdvocate": {
      "score": 2,
      "sentiment": "bearish",
      "category": "Contrarian",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI contrarian (Gemini 2.5 Flash) [NEUTRAL contrarian]; The stress test reveals critical, unmitigated risks. The combination of extreme token concentration (89.02% in top 10), unknown mint authority, and zero LP lock creates an environment ripe for a catastrophic rug pull or slow drain, completely undermining any potential utility. The project's fundamental security profile is severely compromised, making it an extremely high-risk asset.; risks: Catastrophic rug pull due to 89.02% supply in top 10 holders and 0% LP lock., Potential for token dilution or value manipulation if mint authority is not renounced., Lack of verifiable security mechanisms (LP lock, renounced mint) for an established token., High risk of illiquidity if concentrated holders decide to sell, especially in a risk-off market., Minimal security and social data coverage for an established token, hindering due diligence.; open questions: Status of mint authority (renounced or not)., Specific vesting schedules or distribution plans for the highly concentrated supply., True operational status and adoption of the 'augmented reality' project.; confidence 0.90",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.9
    },
    "MacroBot": {
      "score": 3,
      "sentiment": "bearish",
      "category": "Macro",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI macro (Grok); Infinity Rising faces high fragility in the current risk-off regime with BTC/ETH down 1.4% amid Fear & Greed at 27, exacerbated by extreme illiquidity (0x volume/mcap), 89% top-10 holder concentration, and $3.3M mcap on Base. Niche AR sector lacks momentum or catalysts versus hotter Base narratives like memes/infra, with low DEX volume ($10k) signaling vulnerability to further drawdowns despite minor price outperformance. No social discourse or whale signals confirm resilience, positioning it to underperform peers in liquidity crunches.; drivers: Slight price resilience (+2% 24h vs BTC/ETH -1.4%) in low vol (1.5% 7d), Base chain exposure to ETH L2 liquidity pockets, Verified contract and listings on 4 exchanges (Aerodrome, Uniswap); risks: Extreme illiquidity (volume 0x mcap, $32k 24h total) amplifies downside in risk-off, 89% top-10 concentration risks dumps on sentiment shifts, Niche AR sector weak vs Base peers (no TVL/DefiLlama data, no X buzz); confidence 0.65",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.65
    },
    "SecurityBot": {
      "score": 4.5,
      "sentiment": "neutral",
      "category": "Safety",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI security (Claude Sonnet 4.5); RISE is a 157-day-old Base token with verified proxy contract architecture (OpenZeppelin UUPS pattern visible). The token shows concerning structural risks: 100% unlocked liquidity ($501K against $3.3M mcap), extreme top-10 holder concentration (89.02%), and upgradeability without visible governance constraints. The proxy pattern allows implementation changes by whoever controls the admin role, creating a persistent trust assumption. While the contract is verified and the token has survived 5+ months, the combination of unlocked LP, high concentration, and upgradeable architecture presents material holder risk. Missing holder distribution data and creator address limit full assessment. In the current risk-off regime (Fear & Greed: 27), these structural vulnerabilities are amplified—liquidity can be withdrawn, and the upgrade mechanism remains a single point of failure.; CRITICAL: 100% unlocked liquidity with no burn or lock mechanism—immediate withdrawal risk, Upgradeable proxy pattern (UUPS) with unknown admin control—implementation can be replaced; risks: 100% unlocked liquidity ($501K) creates immediate rug risk—LP can be withdrawn at any time without on-chain constraints, UUPS proxy upgradeability allows implementation replacement by admin; no evidence of timelock, multisig, or governance controls visible in truncated source, Extreme holder concentration (89.02% in top 10) combined with missing granular holder data suggests centralized supply control, Low liquidity-to-mcap ratio (15%) makes the token vulnerable to price manipulation and creates exit liquidity concerns; confidence 0.62",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.62
    },
    "SocialBot": {
      "score": 2,
      "sentiment": "bearish",
      "category": "Social",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "X/Twitter sentiment (Grok); sub-scores: OE=0.0, IQ=0.0, CG=1.0, BSD=10.0; Extremely low social presence on X/Twitter for the $RISE Infinity Rising crypto token. No recent discussions, mentions, whale activity, or breaking news found. Official handle @InfinityRisingX has 59k followers but bio describes a multiplayer open-world game project (Steam wishlist), not matching the AR/Base crypto description, suggesting possible disconnect or inactivity in crypto context.; fake/coordination risk: 1/100; confidence 0.40",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.4
    }
  },
  "consensus_narrative": "{\"analysis\": \"The swarm broadly agreed on extreme structural risks for Infinity Rising, primarily driven by an 89.02% top-10 holder concentration and 100% unlocked liquidity, as highlighted by TokenomicsBot, DevilsAdvocate, and SecurityBot. While TechnicianBot noted a verified contract and exchange listings, MacroBot and SocialBot challenged this, emphasizing illiquidity, low social engagement, and a niche sector. The final F grade signifies a highly speculative asset with severe centralization and potential for manipulation, meaning users face substantial risk of capital loss. Avoid this token due to its critical unmitigated risks.\"}",
  "debates": [
    {
      "topic": "Technical vs Tokenomics",
      "resolution": "This conflict signals that while the project might have basic technical integrity and exchange presence (TechnicianBot), its fundamental economic structure is severely flawed. Investors face high risk from potential manipulation and dilution due to extreme holder concentration and poor MCap/FDV, undermining any technical positives.",
      "outcome": "noted",
      "rounds": [
        {
          "phase": "challenge",
          "agent": "TokenomicsBot",
          "agentName": "Tokenomics",
          "target": "TechnicianBot",
          "targetName": "Technician",
          "content": "Cross-category conflict: Tokenomics scored 2.5/10 while Technical scored 5.0/10. This 2.5-point gap suggests the token's strengths in Technical may not translate to Tokenomics reliability.",
          "round": 1,
          "stance": "challenge"
        },
        {
          "phase": "resolution",
          "agent": "TokenomicsBot",
          "agentName": "Tokenomics",
          "content": "This conflict signals that while the project might have basic technical integrity and exchange presence (TechnicianBot), its fundamental economic structure is severely flawed. Investors face high risk from potential manipulation and dilution due to extreme holder concentration and poor MCap/FDV, undermining any technical positives.",
          "round": 2,
          "stance": "noted"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "topic": "Devil's Advocate vs TechnicianBot",
      "resolution": "Split verdict: TechnicianBot maintains 5.0, Devil's Advocate maintains 2.0. Both positions presented.",
      "outcome": "split",
      "rounds": [
        {
          "phase": "challenge",
          "agent": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "agentName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "target": "TechnicianBot",
          "targetName": "Technician",
          "content": "⚔️ TechnicianBot's 'positives' are dangerously misleading; a verified contract means nothing when 100% of LP is unlocked and 89.02% of supply is controlled by the top 10, creating an extreme rug pull risk. Listing on exchanges is irrelevant when liquidity is unlocked and the social presence is non-existent, indicating zero organic interest despite the $3.3M market cap.",
          "round": 1,
          "stance": "challenge"
        },
        {
          "phase": "defense",
          "agent": "TechnicianBot",
          "agentName": "Technician",
          "target": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "targetName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "content": "While acknowledging the critical rug pull risk from unlocked LP and extreme holder concentration, my score of 5.0 reflects a balanced view where a verified contract and exchange listings offer foundational legitimacy and accessibility, preventing a lower score. The initial analysis already flagged 'high top-holder concentration' and 'fragility in liquidity' as significant concerns, indicating awareness of potential risks, though the unlocked LP status exacerbates these.",
          "round": 2,
          "stance": "defend"
        },
        {
          "phase": "rebuttal",
          "agent": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "agentName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "target": "TechnicianBot",
          "targetName": "Technician",
          "content": "⚔️ A verified contract and exchange listings offer no 'foundational legitimacy' when 100% unlocked LP and 89.02% top-10 concentration mean the project can be instantly drained, rendering any accessibility meaningless. These structural vulnerabilities completely negate the supposed benefits of basic contract verification or exchange presence, making the 'balanced view' dangerously naive to the actual rug pull mechanics at play.",
          "round": 3,
          "stance": "escalate"
        },
        {
          "phase": "resolution",
          "agent": "TechnicianBot",
          "agentName": "Technician",
          "content": "While acknowledging the severe risks posed by the 100% unlocked LP and high top-10 concentration, my 5.0 score reflects a balanced view where foundational elements like a verified contract and exchange accessibility still provide a baseline of transparency and market presence, despite significant rug pull potential. These factors, while not guaranteeing safety, offer a minimal level of operational legitimacy that prevents a lower score, even as the financial risks remain critically high.",
          "round": 4,
          "stance": "defend"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "topic": "Score Calibration",
      "resolution": "Consensus after 2 round(s), σ=0.81",
      "outcome": "consensus"
    },
    {
      "topic": "Peer Review",
      "resolution": "DEBATE DEFENSES AND CHALLENGES:\n  [MacroBot] Defense: Infinity Rising faces extreme illiquidity with 0x volume/mcap, an 89% top-10 holder concentration, and a tiny $3.3M market cap on Base, making it high\n    → Challenges TechnicianBot: TechnicianBot's score of 5.0 is too high given the token's extreme illiquidity and high holder conce\n    → Challenges SecurityBot: SecurityBot's 4.5 score is overly optimistic; while security is important, it cannot compensate for \n  [SocialBot] Defense: The social presence for $RISE on X/Twitter is extremely low, with no recent discussions, mentions, or whale activity, indicating a profound lack of co\n    → Challenges TechnicianBot: TechnicianBot's score of 5.0 is excessively high given the profound lack of relevant social activity\n    → Challenges SecurityBot: SecurityBot's score of 4.5 overestimates the token's standing, as a token with virtually no active s\n  [TokenomicsBot] Defense: The extreme insider concentration, with the top 10 holders control"
    }
  ],
  "upgrade_cta": false,
  "warnings": [
    {
      "severity": "high",
      "code": "TOP10_CONCENTRATION",
      "message": "Top 10 holders concentration is very high"
    },
    {
      "severity": "medium",
      "code": "high_holder_concentration",
      "message": "high_holder_concentration"
    }
  ],
  "scan_tier": "PRO_PLUS",
  "success": true,
  "og": {
    "title": "VerdictSwarm: RISE — Score 32/100",
    "description": "{\"analysis\": \"The swarm broadly agreed on extreme structural risks for Infinity Rising, primarily driven by an 89.02% top-10 holder concentration and 100% unlocked liquidity, as highlighted by Tokenom",
    "url": "https://www.vswarm.io/report/0xf25620f89d0e23a8ba7b11ab3235b66268794196"
  }
}