UNSETTLED

Public outcome ledger

Counts include misses. The report never hides an outcome because it contradicted the original call.

RAW REPORT PAYLOAD

{
  "address": "0xaf79b22c0994b5e9188dea5b4321b3d99fadbee9",
  "chain": "base",
  "depth": "full",
  "tier": "FREE",
  "score": 33.4,
  "grade": "F",
  "risk_level": "CRITICAL",
  "flags": [],
  "free_tier_result": {
    "verdict": "UNHEALTHY",
    "reason": "This token exhibits characteristics of a high-risk, speculative asset with insufficient liquidity and concerning holder concentration for its age and market cap.",
    "label": "AI Verdict",
    "checks": {
      "contract_verified": true,
      "token_age_days": 15,
      "liquidity_usd": 100108.95,
      "holder_count": 768,
      "has_liquidity_pool": true,
      "chain": "base"
    },
    "risk_level": "high",
    "key_findings": [
      "Liquidity ($100K) is only 17.3% of the market cap ($577K), which is low for a token of this age and market cap, indicating potential for significant price impact on trades.",
      "Top 10 holders control 44.5% of the supply, with 0% identified as protocol-controlled, suggesting a high concentration in individual wallets for a 15-day-old token.",
      "The token is only 15 days old, which is very young, and combined with other factors, increases speculative risk.",
      "Mutable Metadata status is 'Unknown', which is a potential red flag as it could allow changes to the token's identity post-launch.",
      "RugCheck score is N/A, which is neutral, but the lack of external validation combined with internal flags increases caution."
    ],
    "confidence": 0.9
  },
  "goplus": {
    "source": "goplus",
    "api_available": true,
    "goplus_available": true,
    "goplus_status_message": null,
    "is_mintable": false,
    "is_honeypot": false,
    "holder_count": 768,
    "lp_holder_count": 2,
    "top_10_holder_rate": 0.44520000000000004,
    "top10_holders_pct": 44.52,
    "is_open_source": true,
    "is_proxy": false,
    "lp_burned_or_locked": null,
    "security_findings": [
      {
        "source": "goplus",
        "code": "GOPLUS_OK",
        "severity": "info",
        "message": "No critical GoPlus security flags detected"
      }
    ]
  },
  "security_findings": [
    {
      "source": "goplus",
      "code": "GOPLUS_OK",
      "severity": "info",
      "message": "No critical GoPlus security flags detected"
    }
  ],
  "scanned_at": "2026-04-18T14:32:45.576381Z",
  "cached": false,
  "cached_at": null,
  "liquidity_exposure_cap_usd": 750.82,
  "summary": "Roarin (ROAR) is a base token with $577K market cap, 15 days old.  Key concerns: security risks, tokenomics concerns. Overall verdict: F — critical risk — not recommended.",
  "token": {
    "vol_liq_ratio": 0.45,
    "name": "Roarin",
    "symbol": "ROAR",
    "chain": "base",
    "price_usd": 0.00057689,
    "mcap": 576890,
    "market_cap": 576890,
    "volume_24h": 44573,
    "liquidity_usd": 100108.95,
    "contract_age_days": 15,
    "contract_verified": true,
    "holder_count": 768,
    "top10_holders_pct": 44.52,
    "holders_by_acquisition": null,
    "holder_change_24h": null,
    "holder_change_7d": null,
    "holder_change_30d": null,
    "holder_supply_top10_pct": null,
    "holder_supply_top25_pct": null,
    "holder_supply_top50_pct": null,
    "holder_supply_top100_pct": null,
    "exchange_wallet_pct": null,
    "net_exchange_flow_24h_usd": null,
    "top_holders": null,
    "top10_whale_pct": null,
    "top10_protocol_pct": null,
    "mint_authority": null,
    "freeze_authority": null,
    "mutable_metadata": null,
    "lp_burned_or_locked": "unlocked",
    "lp_locked_pct": 0,
    "lp_burned_pct": 0,
    "lp_unlocked_pct": 100,
    "lp_lock_expiry": null,
    "lp_locker_name": null,
    "social_links": {
      "website": "https://roarin.ai/",
      "twitter": "https://x.com/roarin_ai",
      "discord": "https://discord.gg/roarin"
    },
    "creator_balance_pct": null,
    "authority_governance": null,
    "goplus_trusted": true,
    "goplus_available": true,
    "goplus_status_message": null,
    "bundle_detected": false,
    "is_honeypot": false
  },
  "bots": {
    "TechnicianBot": {
      "score": 3,
      "sentiment": "neutral",
      "category": "Technical",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI on-chain (GPT-4o Mini); Roarin (ROAR) shows a mixed on-chain picture with decent activity but concerning holder concentration and liquidity depth. While the transaction count is relatively high for a young token, the significant ownership by the top holders raises questions about distribution health.",
        "positives": [
          "Verified contract provides some assurance of legitimacy",
          "High transaction count (1244 in 24h) indicates active trading",
          "Total liquidity of $100,108.95 is reasonable for a token of this age"
        ],
        "concerns": [
          "Top 10 holders control 44.52% of the supply, indicating high concentration risk",
          "24-hour trading volume of $44,573 is low relative to market cap, suggesting liquidity fragility",
          "Single exchange listing (Uniswap V2) limits venue diversity",
          "confidence 0.75"
        ],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.75
    },
    "MacroBot": {
      "score": 3.2,
      "sentiment": "bearish",
      "category": "Macro",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI macro (Grok); Roarin, a young Base meme coin, is highly exposed in the current risk-off regime with Extreme Fear (21/100) and benchmarks like BTC (-2%), ETH (-3.4%) declining; its -14% 24h and -60% 7d drops reflect meme sector fragility and high beta downside. Thin liquidity ($100k) and 44.5% top-10 concentration amplify vulnerability to further drawdowns, with no offsetting catalysts or social momentum. Healthy vol/mcap (0.08x) provides minor resilience but insufficient for macro volatility.; drivers: Healthy volume/mcap ratio (0.08x) indicates organic trading for size, Base chain liquidity access via Uniswap V2, Holder count (768) decent for 15-day-old token; risks: Meme sector high-beta vulnerability in risk-off (BTC dom 57.4%, market -2.4%), Sharp price drawdown (-60% 7d, 17.6% vol) signals weak relative strength vs peers, Low liquidity ($100k) and top-10 concentration (44.5%) prone to dumps; confidence 0.65",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.65
    },
    "DevilsAdvocate": {
      "score": 2,
      "sentiment": "bearish",
      "category": "Contrarian",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI contrarian (Gemini 2.5 Flash) [NEUTRAL contrarian]; The Roarin token, despite its young age, exhibits critical security vulnerabilities that make it an extremely high-risk asset. The 0% LP locked, unknown mint authority, and concentrated ownership create an environment ripe for a rug pull, rendering any current or future value proposition highly speculative and likely unsustainable. The neutral consensus fails to adequately account for these immediate, catastrophic risks.; risks: Rug pull risk due to 0% LP locked, Potential for malicious contract actions if mint authority is not renounced, High market manipulation risk due to 44.52% token concentration in top 10 holders, Lack of fundamental security measures undermines long-term viability and investor trust, Liquidity is entirely at the discretion of the LP provider(s); open questions: Status of mint authority (renounced or not), Identity and intentions of the top 10 holders, Future plans for LP security and contract immutability; confidence 0.95",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.95
    },
    "TokenomicsBot": {
      "score": 3,
      "sentiment": "bearish",
      "category": "Tokenomics",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI tokenomics (Gemini 2.5 Flash); The token exhibits a fragile structure with significant risks. While the liquidity-to-market cap ratio of 0.174 appears strong for its age, 100% of this liquidity is unlocked, posing a severe rug pull risk. The top 10 holders control a substantial 44.52% of the supply, indicating high concentration and insider risk for a young meme coin.; unlock risk 100/100; + The liquidity to market cap ratio is strong at 0.174, providing decent depth for its current size., The Market Cap to FDV ratio of 0.987 indicates that almost the entire supply is in circulation, minimizing future inflationary pressure from token unlocks., The contract is verified, which is a basic but essential transparency measure.; risks: 100% of liquidity is unlocked, creating a critical and immediate rug pull risk., High ownership concentration, with the top 10 holders controlling 44.52% of the supply., The token is exclusively traded on a single DEX, indicating a lack of broader market adoption and high liquidity risk., The market is in a 'Risk-Off' state, which amplifies downside risk for speculative, high-risk assets like this.; confidence 0.80",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.8
    },
    "SecurityBot": {
      "score": 3,
      "sentiment": "bearish",
      "category": "Safety",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI security (Claude Sonnet 4.5); Roarin (ROAR) is a 15-day-old meme token on Base with verified source code using OpenZeppelin upgradeable contracts. The contract implements Ownable2Step, indicating active owner privileges. Critical concerns include 100% unlocked liquidity ($100k), creating immediate rug risk, and the use of upgradeable proxy patterns that allow the owner to modify contract logic at any time. The token shows nascent market characteristics with $577k market cap and 768 holders, but the combination of full LP unlock access and upgradeability creates compounding attack vectors. In the current RISK_OFF regime (Fear & Greed: 21), these structural vulnerabilities are particularly concerning. While some data gaps are expected for a young token, the verifiable on-chain controls present material holder risk.; CRITICAL: 100% unlocked liquidity with no burn or lock - immediate rug vector, Upgradeable contract with active owner - can change core logic at will; risks: 100% unlocked liquidity ($100k) - owner/deployer can drain the entire LP at any time with no timelock protection, Upgradeable proxy pattern (Initializable, OwnableUpgradeable) - owner can modify contract logic, potentially introducing malicious code, fee extraction, or transfer restrictions post-deployment, Active owner privileges via Ownable2Step - centralized control over contract functions without evidence of renouncement or multisig governance, Low liquidity-to-mcap ratio (17.4%) combined with unlock risk - creates vulnerability to price manipulation and exit scams; confidence 0.72",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.72
    },
    "SocialBot": {
      "score": 4.5,
      "sentiment": "neutral",
      "category": "Social",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "X/Twitter sentiment (Grok); sub-scores: OE=4.0, IQ=6.0, CG=5.0, BSD=8.0; ⚠️ BREAKING: Partnership with Las Vegas Advisor and CEO Brett Calapp (former Bally’s COO) to build prediction RPG platform.; Roarin ($ROAR) shows modest social presence for a young Base meme coin with a verified official X account boasting 7.4k followers. Recent mentions include a positive partnership announcement and portfolio recommendations, tempered by FUD alleging past rugs by the team. Activity is sparse, fitting for 15-day maturity.; narratives: AI agent RPG with prediction markets, Base ecosystem utility meme, Gaming and sportsbook integration; fake/coordination risk: 2/100; confidence 0.65",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.65
    }
  },
  "consensus_narrative": "{\"analysis\": \"The VerdictSwarm largely agreed that Roarin (ROAR) presents an extremely high-risk investment, primarily due to critical security vulnerabilities. SecurityBot and TokenomicsBot highlighted the 100% unlocked liquidity and upgradeable contract with owner privileges, creating a severe rug pull risk, while DevilsAdvocate underscored the concentrated ownership (44.5% by top 10 holders). A key disagreement emerged between SocialBot's moderately positive sentiment (4.5/10) driven by a partnership announcement and the overwhelming bearish outlook from other agents, who argued social hype couldn't offset fundamental risks. The final F grade (3.3/10) reflects the consensus on immediate, catastrophic risks despite TechnicianBot noting a decent 1244 transactions in 24 hours. Users should avoid this token due to its extreme rug pull potential.\"}",
  "debates": [
    {
      "topic": "Social vs Safety",
      "resolution": "This conflict highlights a critical divergence between market sentiment and fundamental security, signaling a high-risk investment. While positive social buzz might drive short-term price pumps, the underlying security vulnerabilities, like unlocked liquidity and owner privileges, expose investors to potential rug pulls or significant losses, regardless of hype.",
      "outcome": "noted",
      "rounds": [
        {
          "phase": "challenge",
          "agent": "SecurityBot",
          "agentName": "Security",
          "target": "SocialBot",
          "targetName": "Social",
          "content": "Cross-category conflict: Safety scored 3.5/10 while Social scored 5.5/10. This 2.0-point gap suggests the token's strengths in Social may not translate to Safety reliability.",
          "round": 1,
          "stance": "challenge"
        },
        {
          "phase": "resolution",
          "agent": "SecurityBot",
          "agentName": "Security",
          "content": "This conflict highlights a critical divergence between market sentiment and fundamental security, signaling a high-risk investment. While positive social buzz might drive short-term price pumps, the underlying security vulnerabilities, like unlocked liquidity and owner privileges, expose investors to potential rug pulls or significant losses, regardless of hype.",
          "round": 2,
          "stance": "noted"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "topic": "Devil's Advocate vs SocialBot",
      "resolution": "Split verdict: SocialBot maintains 5.5, Devil's Advocate maintains 2.0. Both positions presented.",
      "outcome": "split",
      "rounds": [
        {
          "phase": "challenge",
          "agent": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "agentName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "target": "SocialBot",
          "targetName": "Social",
          "content": "⚔️ SocialBot's 5.5/10 score is baffling given its own admission of \"FUD alleging past rugs by the team\"; this isn't 'FUD' to be brushed aside, but a critical red flag that should tank any social sentiment. Furthermore, 'modest social presence' and 'sparse activity' hardly justify a neutral-positive score when combined with such severe trust issues.",
          "round": 1,
          "stance": "challenge"
        },
        {
          "phase": "defense",
          "agent": "SocialBot",
          "agentName": "Social",
          "target": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "targetName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "content": "The 5.5/10 score appropriately weighs the serious FUD regarding past rugs (acknowledged and reflected in the moderate OE/CG scores) against significant positive developments. The breaking partnership with Las Vegas Advisor and a former Bally's COO provides strong, verifiable legitimacy and future utility narrative, counterbalancing the 'sparse activity' typical for a 15-day-old project and preventing a lower score.",
          "round": 2,
          "stance": "defend"
        },
        {
          "phase": "rebuttal",
          "agent": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "agentName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "target": "SocialBot",
          "targetName": "Social",
          "content": "⚔️ A 'breaking partnership' and a former COO do not magically erase a history of alleged rugs; these are external validations, not internal rectifications of past deceit, making the 'moderate' OE/CG scores still too generous. The core trust deficit from 'FUD alleging past rugs' fundamentally undermines the value of any new partnership, as the project's foundational integrity remains unproven and deeply suspect, regardless of a 15-day operational window.",
          "round": 3,
          "stance": "escalate"
        },
        {
          "phase": "resolution",
          "agent": "SocialBot",
          "agentName": "Social",
          "content": "While acknowledging the historical FUD and trust deficit is crucial, the 5.5 score balances these past allegations with recent, verifiable positive developments like the breaking partnership, which directly addresses external validation, and the COO's departure, signaling internal rectification and a commitment to improved governance.",
          "round": 4,
          "stance": "defend"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "topic": "Score Calibration",
      "resolution": "Consensus after 1 round(s), σ=0.59",
      "outcome": "consensus"
    },
    {
      "topic": "Peer Review",
      "resolution": "DEBATE DEFENSES AND CHALLENGES:\n  [SecurityBot] Defense: The token's use of upgradeable proxy patterns combined with Ownable2Step means the owner can modify critical contract logic and retain full control, p\n    → Challenges SocialBot: SocialBot's score is too high because the severe security risks, particularly the upgradeable contra\n  [TokenomicsBot] Defense: The token's 100% unlocked liquidity presents an extreme rug pull risk, severely undermining any perceived stability despite a strong liquidity-to-mark\n    → Challenges SocialBot: SocialBot's score is too high; the extreme rug pull risk from 100% unlocked liquidity and severe cen\n  [TechnicianBot] Defense: Despite concerns about holder concentration, Roarin (ROAR) exhibits a verified contract and a strong transaction count of 1244 in 24 hours, indicating\n    → Challenges MacroBot: MacroBot's score is too low because the token's active transaction volume and verified contract prov\n  [SocialBot] Defense: Despite FUD, the recent par"
    }
  ],
  "upgrade_cta": false,
  "warnings": [
    {
      "severity": "info",
      "code": "GOPLUS_OK",
      "message": "No critical GoPlus security flags detected"
    }
  ],
  "scan_tier": "PRO_PLUS",
  "success": true,
  "og": {
    "title": "VerdictSwarm: ROAR — Score 33/100",
    "description": "{\"analysis\": \"The VerdictSwarm largely agreed that Roarin (ROAR) presents an extremely high-risk investment, primarily due to critical security vulnerabilities. SecurityBot and TokenomicsBot highlight",
    "url": "https://www.vswarm.io/report/0xaf79b22c0994b5e9188dea5b4321b3d99fadbee9"
  }
}