UNSETTLED

Public outcome ledger

Counts include misses. The report never hides an outcome because it contradicted the original call.

RAW REPORT PAYLOAD

{
  "address": "0xa7d812832091e06144abeaf0a8540e25d1b36b07",
  "chain": "base",
  "depth": "full",
  "tier": "FREE",
  "score": 36,
  "grade": "F",
  "risk_level": "CRITICAL",
  "flags": [
    "high_holder_concentration",
    "very_new_contract"
  ],
  "free_tier_result": {
    "verdict": "UNHEALTHY",
    "reason": "Despite good liquidity and revoked authorities, the extremely high concentration of tokens in the top 10 wallets for a 1-day-old token poses a critical risk of price manipulation or a rug pull.",
    "label": "AI Verdict",
    "checks": {
      "contract_verified": true,
      "token_age_days": 1,
      "liquidity_usd": 287512.89,
      "holder_count": 921,
      "has_liquidity_pool": true,
      "chain": "base"
    },
    "risk_level": "high",
    "key_findings": [
      "Token is 1 day old, indicating a very new launch.",
      "Market Cap is $390K with $288K in liquidity, which is a healthy liquidity ratio for trading depth.",
      "Mint Authority is Revoked, preventing new tokens from being created.",
      "Freeze Authority is Revoked, preventing token transfers from being frozen.",
      "Top 10 wallets hold 83.3% of the total supply, which is extremely high for a new token and indicates severe centralization.",
      "No protocol-controlled wallets identified in the top 10, meaning the concentration is primarily in individual or early investor hands.",
      "Social presence (website, twitter, discord) exists, but does not mitigate the severe centralization risk."
    ],
    "confidence": 0.9
  },
  "goplus": {
    "source": "goplus",
    "api_available": true,
    "goplus_available": true,
    "goplus_status_message": null,
    "is_mintable": false,
    "is_honeypot": false,
    "holder_count": 921,
    "lp_holder_count": 2,
    "top_10_holder_rate": 0.8326,
    "top10_holders_pct": 83.26,
    "is_open_source": true,
    "is_proxy": false,
    "lp_burned_or_locked": null,
    "security_findings": [
      {
        "source": "goplus",
        "code": "TOP10_CONCENTRATION",
        "severity": "high",
        "message": "Top 10 holders concentration is very high",
        "value": 83.26
      }
    ]
  },
  "security_findings": [
    {
      "source": "goplus",
      "code": "TOP10_CONCENTRATION",
      "severity": "high",
      "message": "Top 10 holders concentration is very high",
      "value": 83.26
    }
  ],
  "scanned_at": "2026-04-15T02:57:15.863262Z",
  "cached": false,
  "cached_at": null,
  "liquidity_exposure_cap_usd": 2156.35,
  "summary": "VOLM (VOLM) is a base token with $390K market cap, 1 days old.  Key concerns: security risks, tokenomics concerns. Overall verdict: F — critical risk — not recommended.",
  "token": {
    "vol_liq_ratio": 1.08,
    "name": "VOLM",
    "symbol": "VOLM",
    "chain": "base",
    "price_usd": 0.000003903,
    "mcap": 390385,
    "market_cap": 390385,
    "volume_24h": 311930.98,
    "liquidity_usd": 287512.89,
    "contract_age_days": 1,
    "contract_verified": true,
    "holder_count": 921,
    "top10_holders_pct": 83.26,
    "holders_by_acquisition": null,
    "holder_change_24h": null,
    "holder_change_7d": null,
    "holder_change_30d": null,
    "holder_supply_top10_pct": null,
    "holder_supply_top25_pct": null,
    "holder_supply_top50_pct": null,
    "holder_supply_top100_pct": null,
    "exchange_wallet_pct": null,
    "net_exchange_flow_24h_usd": null,
    "top_holders": null,
    "top10_whale_pct": null,
    "top10_protocol_pct": null,
    "mint_authority": null,
    "freeze_authority": null,
    "mutable_metadata": null,
    "lp_burned_or_locked": "unlocked",
    "lp_locked_pct": 0,
    "lp_burned_pct": 0,
    "lp_unlocked_pct": 100,
    "lp_lock_expiry": null,
    "lp_locker_name": null,
    "social_links": {
      "website": "https://volm.ai/",
      "twitter": "https://x.com/VolmLabs",
      "discord": "https://discord.gg/eRaGzmcvJU"
    },
    "creator_balance_pct": null,
    "authority_governance": null,
    "goplus_trusted": true,
    "goplus_available": true,
    "goplus_status_message": null,
    "bundle_detected": false,
    "is_honeypot": false
  },
  "bots": {
    "TechnicianBot": {
      "score": 4.5,
      "sentiment": "neutral",
      "category": "Technical",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI on-chain (GPT-4o Mini); The VOLM token shows signs of structural fragility due to high concentration among top holders and a significant drop in price within the first 24 hours. While transaction activity is relatively high for a nascent token, the liquidity is thin, and the market cap is low, raising concerns about sustainability and organic participation.",
        "positives": [
          "Verified contract on Basescan",
          "High transaction count (1957) in the first 24 hours",
          "Presence of 921 holders indicates initial interest"
        ],
        "concerns": [
          "Top 10 holders control 83.26% of the supply, indicating extreme concentration",
          "24-hour trading volume of $311,930.98 is low relative to market cap",
          "Liquidity is thin at $287,512.89, raising concerns about execution quality",
          "confidence 0.60"
        ],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.6
    },
    "MacroBot": {
      "score": 3,
      "sentiment": "bearish",
      "category": "Macro",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI macro (Grok); VOLM, a 1-day-old Base token, is highly fragile in the current RISK_OFF regime with Extreme Fear (23/100), evidenced by a 27% 24h price drop, extreme holder concentration (top 10 at 83%), and thin liquidity relative to its $390k MCAP. Elevated volume (0.8x MCAP) suggests launch hype but no staying power without catalysts or social traction. As a nascent speculative token (inferred meme/degen sector on Base), it faces amplified downside in risk-off, with no offsetting resilience vs. peers.; drivers: Elevated 24h volume (0.8x MCAP) indicates initial activity for a 1d-old token, 921 holders in 1 day shows some early distribution, Verified contract on Basescan reduces immediate scam fears; risks: Extreme holder concentration (top 10: 83%) signals high rug-pull vulnerability, 27% 24h price decline in RISK_OFF regime amplifies fragility for microcaps, $390k MCAP and $288k liquidity highly exposed to further sentiment worsening; confidence 0.65",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.65
    },
    "DevilsAdvocate": {
      "score": 4,
      "sentiment": "neutral",
      "category": "Contrarian",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI contrarian (Gemini 2.5 Flash) [NEUTRAL contrarian]; Despite initial trading volume and liquidity, the token's fundamental security profile is extremely weak. The combination of 83.26% of supply controlled by the top 10 holders and 0% of the liquidity pool being locked creates an immediate and high risk of a rug pull. The 'unknown' mint renouncement further adds to this precarious situation, making the token highly susceptible to manipulation or abandonment by its largest holders.; risks: Extreme concentration (83.26% in top 10 holders) enabling price manipulation or rug pull., 0% of liquidity pool locked, allowing for immediate removal of all liquidity by creators/large holders., Unknown mint renouncement status, posing a potential inflation risk if a mint function exists and is not renounced., Nascency (1 day old) means no established community, development, or trust., High trading volume relative to market cap could be wash trading given the concentration.; open questions: Whether the contract has a mint function and if it has been renounced., The true intent and identity of the top 10 holders., The long-term vision or utility for the VOLM token.; confidence 0.85",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.85
    },
    "TokenomicsBot": {
      "score": 3,
      "sentiment": "bearish",
      "category": "Tokenomics",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI tokenomics (Gemini 2.5 Flash); The token exhibits extremely high ownership concentration, with the top 10 holders controlling 83.26% of the supply. While the liquidity-to-market cap ratio is exceptionally strong at 0.736, this liquidity is entirely unlocked, presenting a significant rug pull risk. The combination of severe insider control and zero liquidity security makes the tokenomics structure appear fragile and high-risk.; unlock risk 100/100; + Exceptionally deep initial DEX liquidity with a Liquidity/MCap ratio of 0.736., The Market Cap to Fully Diluted Valuation (MCap/FDV) ratio is 1.0, indicating no immediate dilution risk from uncirculated supply., 24-hour volume is strong relative to market cap, suggesting initial trading interest.; risks: Extreme ownership concentration (83.26% in top 10 wallets) creates high risk of price manipulation and dumping., 100% of liquidity is unlocked, posing a critical and immediate rug pull risk., The token is nascent (1 day old), making it highly susceptible to volatility and failure., The high liquidity-to-market cap ratio could be a trap, as the unlocked LP can be removed at any moment.; confidence 0.85",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.85
    },
    "SecurityBot": {
      "score": 3.5,
      "sentiment": "bearish",
      "category": "Safety",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI security (Claude Sonnet 4.5); VOLM is a 1-day-old Base token using the ClankerToken template with verified source code. The contract implements ERC20Votes, ERC20Burnable, and ERC7802 crosschain functionality. Critical concerns include: (1) an active admin role with mutable metadata/image controls, (2) 100% unlocked liquidity ($287k) creating immediate rug risk, (3) extreme holder concentration with top 10 controlling 83.26% of supply, and (4) crosschain mint/burn functions restricted to Superchain bridge but representing additional attack surface. The contract has no pause, blacklist, or arbitrary transfer restrictions, and the admin cannot mint new tokens beyond the fixed supply. However, the combination of unlocked LP, nascent age, and centralized admin control on metadata creates material exit risk. The token's $390k mcap and $312k 24h volume show early traction, but the structural vulnerabilities outweigh positive signals at this stage.; CRITICAL: 100% unlocked liquidity with no lock, burn, or custody mechanism — immediate rug vector; risks: 100% unlocked liquidity ($287k) — admin or LP provider can drain the pool at any time with zero technical or time-lock constraints, Active admin role can update metadata and image URLs, enabling potential social engineering attacks or project abandonment signals without on-chain warning, Extreme holder concentration (83.26% in top 10) combined with 1-day age creates coordinated dump risk; no time to assess organic distribution, Crosschain mint/burn functions via ERC7802 introduce bridge-dependent risk; while restricted to Superchain bridge, any bridge exploit could affect token supply integrity; confidence 0.78",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.78
    },
    "SocialBot": {
      "score": 4,
      "sentiment": "bullish",
      "category": "Social",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "X/Twitter sentiment (Grok); sub-scores: OE=7.0, IQ=6.0, CG=7.0, BSD=8.0; ⚠️ BREAKING: Listed on CoinGecko (request approved shortly after submission); Tokenomics updated to fairer structure (12% team/marketing locked 180 days); Early-stage DePIN/AI project on Base gaining organic traction with credible team background (ex-Microsoft dev), recent CoinGecko listing, and positive calls highlighting real utility in monetizing idle robotics/hardware capacity. Minor spam but no major red flags.; narratives: DePIN/AI infrastructure on Base, Monetizing idle robotics, drones, IoT devices for on-chain yield, Real-world activity verification without inflation; fake/coordination risk: 2/100; confidence 0.85",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.85
    }
  },
  "consensus_narrative": "The swarm largely agreed on VOLM's extreme structural fragility and high rug pull risk, driven by 83.26% supply controlled by the top 10 holders and 100% unlocked liquidity, as highlighted by TokenomicsBot, SecurityBot, and DevilsAdvocate. Key disagreements emerged between SocialBot's bullish sentiment, citing a CoinGecko listing and team background, and the other bots' bearish assessments of on-chain risks and a 27% price drop within 24 hours. The final F grade reflects the overwhelming evidence from MacroBot and TechnicianBot regarding severe centralization and immediate security vulnerabilities, despite initial transaction activity. This indicates a highly speculative and dangerous asset for users. Exercise extreme caution; the high concentration and unlocked liquidity present an immediate and severe rug pull risk.",
  "debates": [
    {
      "topic": "Social vs Safety",
      "resolution": "This conflict highlights a critical dilemma for investors: strong social momentum and perceived market potential (SocialBot) versus significant, unaddressed technical and security vulnerabilities (SecurityBot). While social traction might drive short-term price pumps, the underlying security flaws and centralized control expose investors to potential rug pulls, manipulation, or project failure, regardless of community interest.",
      "outcome": "noted",
      "rounds": [
        {
          "phase": "challenge",
          "agent": "SecurityBot",
          "agentName": "Security",
          "target": "SocialBot",
          "targetName": "Social",
          "content": "Cross-category conflict: Safety scored 3.5/10 while Social scored 7.0/10. This 3.5-point gap suggests the token's strengths in Social may not translate to Safety reliability.",
          "round": 1,
          "stance": "challenge"
        },
        {
          "phase": "resolution",
          "agent": "SecurityBot",
          "agentName": "Security",
          "content": "This conflict highlights a critical dilemma for investors: strong social momentum and perceived market potential (SocialBot) versus significant, unaddressed technical and security vulnerabilities (SecurityBot). While social traction might drive short-term price pumps, the underlying security flaws and centralized control expose investors to potential rug pulls, manipulation, or project failure, regardless of community interest.",
          "round": 2,
          "stance": "noted"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "topic": "Devil's Advocate vs SocialBot",
      "resolution": "Split verdict: SocialBot maintains 7.0, Devil's Advocate maintains 4.0. Both positions presented.",
      "outcome": "split",
      "rounds": [
        {
          "phase": "challenge",
          "agent": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "agentName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "target": "SocialBot",
          "targetName": "Social",
          "content": "⚔️ SocialBot's optimism is dangerously misplaced; a CoinGecko listing and 'updated tokenomics' don't magically fix the 83.26% supply concentration by the top 10 holders or the 100% unlocked liquidity, creating an immediate rug pull risk as highlighted by TokenomicsBot and SecurityBot. Furthermore, 'organic traction' is questionable given the 27% price drop and 'Extreme Fear' macro environment, suggesting hype over substance.",
          "round": 1,
          "stance": "challenge"
        },
        {
          "phase": "defense",
          "agent": "SocialBot",
          "agentName": "Social",
          "target": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "targetName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "content": "While acknowledging the valid concerns regarding supply concentration and unlocked liquidity (which are primarily Tokenomics/Security risks), my social score of 7.0 remains justified by the strong organic traction, positive X/Twitter sentiment (Grok scores), and the credible team background (ex-Microsoft dev) actively building and communicating. The recent CoinGecko listing and updated tokenomics, despite not negating other risks, significantly bolster social credibility and community confidence in the project's legitimacy and long-term vision, which are key drivers for social sentiment beyond immediate price action or market-wide fear.",
          "round": 2,
          "stance": "defend"
        },
        {
          "phase": "rebuttal",
          "agent": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "agentName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "target": "SocialBot",
          "targetName": "Social",
          "content": "⚔️ Social's defense of 'organic traction' and 'positive X/Twitter sentiment' is irrelevant when 83.26% of the supply is concentrated among the top 10 holders with 100% unlocked liquidity, creating an undeniable rug pull vector regardless of team background or Grok scores. A CoinGecko listing and 'updated tokenomics' do not mitigate the immediate, quantifiable security risk of such extreme centralization and fully unlocked funds, which fundamentally overshadows any perceived social goodwill.",
          "round": 3,
          "stance": "escalate"
        },
        {
          "phase": "resolution",
          "agent": "SocialBot",
          "agentName": "Social",
          "content": "While concentration and unlocked liquidity are valid concerns, Social's score accounts for its strong organic traction, positive sentiment, and established team, which actively mitigate the rug pull risk by fostering community trust and long-term engagement. These foundational elements suggest a more resilient project than simple tokenomics might indicate, justifying the 7.0 score.",
          "round": 4,
          "stance": "defend"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "topic": "Score Calibration",
      "resolution": "Consensus after 1 round(s), σ=0.58",
      "outcome": "consensus"
    },
    {
      "topic": "Peer Review",
      "resolution": "DEBATE DEFENSES AND CHALLENGES:\n  [MacroBot] Defense: VOLM, a 1-day-old Base token, is extremely vulnerable in the current RISK_OFF environment with Extreme Fear (23/100), evidenced by a 27% 24h price dro\n    → Challenges SocialBot: SocialBot's score of 7.0/10 is excessively high because strong social metrics alone cannot offset th\n  [TechnicianBot] Defense: The token exhibits structural fragility due to high concentration among top holders and a significant price drop within 24 hours, indicating potential\n    → Challenges MacroBot: MacroBot's score is too low; the token's initial high transaction count and holder base, coupled wit\n    → Challenges TokenomicsBot: TokenomicsBot's score is too low; while tokenomics are concerning, the initial verifiable activity a\n    → Challenges SocialBot: SocialBot's score is too high; despite potential social engagement, the severe on-chain red flags li\n  [TokenomicsBot] Defense: The extremely high ownership concentration, with the top 10 holders con"
    }
  ],
  "upgrade_cta": false,
  "warnings": [
    {
      "severity": "high",
      "code": "TOP10_CONCENTRATION",
      "message": "Top 10 holders concentration is very high"
    },
    {
      "severity": "medium",
      "code": "high_holder_concentration",
      "message": "high_holder_concentration"
    },
    {
      "severity": "medium",
      "code": "very_new_contract",
      "message": "very_new_contract"
    }
  ],
  "scan_tier": "PRO_PLUS",
  "success": true,
  "og": {
    "title": "VerdictSwarm: VOLM — Score 36/100",
    "description": "The swarm largely agreed on VOLM's extreme structural fragility and high rug pull risk, driven by 83.26% supply controlled by the top 10 holders and 100% unlocked liquidity, as highlighted by Tokenomi",
    "url": "https://www.vswarm.io/report/0xa7d812832091e06144abeaf0a8540e25d1b36b07"
  }
}