UNSETTLED

Public outcome ledger

Counts include misses. The report never hides an outcome because it contradicted the original call.

RAW REPORT PAYLOAD

{
  "address": "0x8e4cbbcc33db6c0a18561fde1f6ba35906d4848b",
  "chain": "base",
  "depth": "full",
  "tier": "FREE",
  "score": 39,
  "grade": "F",
  "risk_level": "CRITICAL",
  "flags": [
    "high_holder_concentration"
  ],
  "free_tier_result": {
    "verdict": "UNHEALTHY",
    "reason": "This is a brand new token with active mint authority and extremely high holder concentration, indicating a high risk of developer-controlled price manipulation and potential rug pull.",
    "label": "AI Verdict",
    "checks": {
      "contract_verified": true,
      "token_age_days": 0,
      "liquidity_usd": 1056753.1400000001,
      "holder_count": 3056,
      "has_liquidity_pool": true,
      "chain": "base"
    },
    "risk_level": "critical",
    "key_findings": [
      "Token is 0 days old, indicating an extremely new launch.",
      "Active mint authority allows the creator to mint an unlimited supply of tokens at any time, devaluing existing holdings.",
      "Top 10 wallets control 94.1% of the supply, with 0% attributed to protocol-controlled addresses, suggesting high centralization in individual wallets.",
      "Liquidity of $1.1M is low relative to the $37.5M market cap (~2.9%), making it susceptible to large price swings and potential liquidity drains.",
      "No social presence (links) makes it difficult to assess project legitimacy or community support.",
      "Mutable metadata status is unknown, which could allow for changes to token name/symbol/image post-launch."
    ],
    "confidence": 1
  },
  "goplus": {
    "source": "goplus",
    "api_available": true,
    "goplus_available": true,
    "goplus_status_message": null,
    "is_mintable": true,
    "is_honeypot": false,
    "holder_count": 3056,
    "lp_holder_count": 2,
    "top_10_holder_rate": 0.9406,
    "top10_holders_pct": 94.06,
    "is_open_source": true,
    "is_proxy": false,
    "lp_burned_or_locked": null,
    "security_findings": [
      {
        "source": "goplus",
        "code": "MINTABLE",
        "severity": "high",
        "message": "Token supply can be minted",
        "value": true
      },
      {
        "source": "goplus",
        "code": "TOP10_CONCENTRATION",
        "severity": "high",
        "message": "Top 10 holders concentration is very high",
        "value": 94.06
      }
    ]
  },
  "security_findings": [
    {
      "source": "goplus",
      "code": "MINTABLE",
      "severity": "high",
      "message": "Token supply can be minted",
      "value": true
    },
    {
      "source": "goplus",
      "code": "TOP10_CONCENTRATION",
      "severity": "high",
      "message": "Top 10 holders concentration is very high",
      "value": 94.06
    },
    {
      "source": "verdictswarm",
      "code": "VOL_LIQ_RATIO",
      "severity": "high",
      "message": "24h volume/liquidity ratio is 10.77:1 — elevated wash-trading/manipulation risk",
      "value": 10.77,
      "metric": {
        "name": "vol_liq_ratio",
        "display_name": "Volume/Liquidity Ratio",
        "value": 10.77,
        "unit": "x",
        "volume_24h": 11380347.28,
        "liquidity_usd": 1056753.1400000001,
        "threshold_high": 10,
        "threshold_critical": 20
      }
    }
  ],
  "scanned_at": "2026-04-14T00:03:39.725202Z",
  "cached": false,
  "cached_at": null,
  "liquidity_exposure_cap_usd": 7925.65,
  "summary": "MEZO (MEZO) is a base token with $37.5M market cap, verified contract. The Swarm found deep liquidity ($1.1M).  Key concerns: security risks, tokenomics concerns. Overall verdict: F — critical risk — not recommended.",
  "token": {
    "vol_liq_ratio": 10.77,
    "name": "MEZO",
    "symbol": "MEZO",
    "chain": "base",
    "price_usd": 0.0749,
    "mcap": 37452706,
    "market_cap": 37452706,
    "volume_24h": 11380347.28,
    "liquidity_usd": 1056753.1400000001,
    "contract_age_days": 0,
    "contract_verified": true,
    "holder_count": 3056,
    "top10_holders_pct": 94.06,
    "holders_by_acquisition": null,
    "holder_change_24h": null,
    "holder_change_7d": null,
    "holder_change_30d": null,
    "holder_supply_top10_pct": null,
    "holder_supply_top25_pct": null,
    "holder_supply_top50_pct": null,
    "holder_supply_top100_pct": null,
    "exchange_wallet_pct": null,
    "net_exchange_flow_24h_usd": null,
    "top_holders": null,
    "top10_whale_pct": null,
    "top10_protocol_pct": null,
    "mint_authority": "ACTIVE_PER_GOPLUS",
    "freeze_authority": null,
    "mutable_metadata": null,
    "lp_burned_or_locked": "unlocked",
    "lp_locked_pct": 0,
    "lp_burned_pct": 0,
    "lp_unlocked_pct": 100,
    "lp_lock_expiry": null,
    "lp_locker_name": null,
    "social_links": null,
    "creator_balance_pct": null,
    "authority_governance": null,
    "goplus_trusted": true,
    "goplus_available": true,
    "goplus_status_message": null,
    "bundle_detected": false,
    "is_honeypot": false
  },
  "bots": {
    "TokenomicsBot": {
      "score": 3,
      "sentiment": "bearish",
      "category": "Tokenomics",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI tokenomics (Gemini 2.5 Flash); The token exhibits extremely high ownership concentration, with the top 10 holders controlling 94.06% of the supply. This, combined with a very unusual MCap/FDV ratio of 9.34 and 100% unlocked liquidity, creates a fragile and high-risk structure despite a respectable holder count of over 3000 for a nascent token.; unlock risk 95/100; + Contract is verified, providing a basic level of transparency., Holder count of 3056 is relatively high for a token reported as 0 days old., Significant 24-hour trading volume ($11.38M) indicates initial market interest.; risks: Extreme ownership concentration (94.06% in top 10 wallets) poses a severe risk of price manipulation and sell-offs., 100% of the liquidity pool is unlocked, creating a significant rug pull risk., The MCap/FDV ratio of 9.34 is highly anomalous and suggests a potential misreporting of total supply or a flawed tokenomic model, creating valuation uncertainty., The liquidity-to-market cap ratio is low (2.8%), making the $37.5M valuation susceptible to high slippage from large trades.; confidence 0.70",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.7
    },
    "TechnicianBot": {
      "score": 4,
      "sentiment": "neutral",
      "category": "Technical",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI on-chain (GPT-4o Mini); The MEZO token exhibits a high transaction count and significant trading volume, indicating active participation. However, the extreme concentration among top holders raises concerns about distribution quality, while the liquidity appears thin relative to the market cap, suggesting potential fragility in execution quality.",
        "positives": [
          "High transaction count of 8,333 in the last 24 hours indicates active trading",
          "Significant 24-hour trading volume of $11,380,347.28 shows strong market interest",
          "Verified contract provides some assurance of security"
        ],
        "concerns": [
          "Top 10 holders control 94.1% of the supply, indicating extreme concentration",
          "Liquidity of $1,056,753.14 is low relative to the market cap of $37.5M",
          "Holder count of 3,056 may not reflect a broad distribution due to API limitations"
        ],
        "flags": [
          "FDV significantly lower than market cap suggests a large portion of the supply may be locked or not circulating",
          "confidence 0.25"
        ]
      },
      "confidence": 0.25
    },
    "DevilsAdvocate": {
      "score": 1.5,
      "sentiment": "bearish",
      "category": "Contrarian",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI contrarian (Gemini 2.5 Flash) [NEUTRAL contrarian]; The MEZO token on Base presents an extremely high-risk profile, fundamentally undermined by a mathematically impossible FDV-to-market-cap ratio, 0% LP lock, non-renounced mint authority, and severe holder concentration. These combined factors create an environment ripe for a catastrophic rug pull or controlled dump, rendering the token an exceptionally poor investment despite its association with a 'known established project.'; risks: FDV lower than Market Cap: Indicates a severe data error or a highly unusual, potentially manipulative tokenomics model where circulating supply appears to exceed total supply, which is mathematically impossible., 0% LP Locked: The entire liquidity pool can be removed by the deployer at any moment, leading to an immediate and total loss of value for holders., Mint Authority Not Renounced: The contract owner retains the ability to mint an unlimited supply of new tokens, which can be dumped on the market, devaluing existing holdings., Extreme Holder Concentration (94.06% in top 10): Combined with unlocked LP and mint authority, this indicates a highly centralized and easily manipulable supply, enabling coordinated dumps., Potential for Rug Pull: The combination of unlocked LP, non-renounced mint, and high concentration provides all the technical capabilities for a rapid and complete draining of liquidity or token devaluation.; open questions: Actual deploy date and contract age: The reported '0 days' is likely inaccurate, and the true age could reveal more about its history., Specifics of the tokenomics model: How is the FDV lower than market cap? What is the true total supply and circulating supply?, Identity and intentions of the top 10 holders",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 1
    },
    "MacroBot": {
      "score": 4,
      "sentiment": "neutral",
      "category": "Macro",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI macro (Grok); MEZO, a nascent Bitcoin L2 DeFi token on Base, shows healthy 24h volume (0.3x MCAP) and a 157% price surge amid extreme fear (FGI 12), but extreme holder concentration (94% top 10) and thin liquidity ($1M) expose it to fragility in a neutral risk-off regime. BTC L2 narrative offers sector tailwinds, yet missing macro benchmarks and on-chain depth limit upside capture versus peers. Likely tracks BTC beta with amplified volatility due to low float (MCAP/FDV 9.3x).; drivers: Healthy volume/MCAP ratio (0.3x) validates organic activity for nascent token, 157% 24h pump signals early momentum in BTC L2/DeFi narrative, Bitcoin L2 positioning resilient to BTC trends over pure alts; risks: 94% supply in top 10 holders creates dump vulnerability, Low liquidity ($1M) vs $37M MCAP fragile in fear-driven drawdowns, Unexplained MCAP/FDV mismatch (9.3x) flags potential unlock cliffs; confidence 0.45",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.45
    },
    "SecurityBot": {
      "score": 3,
      "sentiment": "bearish",
      "category": "Safety",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI security (Claude Sonnet 4.5); MEZO presents a high-risk security posture despite being associated with an established Bitcoin L2 project. Critical concerns include 100% unlocked liquidity ($1.06M against $37.5M mcap = 2.8% liquidity ratio), extreme top-10 holder concentration (94.06%), and active Ownable2Step ownership with no evidence of renunciation. The FDV ($4M) being 89% lower than market cap ($37.5M) suggests significant locked/unvested supply creating future dilution risk. While the contract is verified and uses standard OpenZeppelin patterns without obvious honeypot mechanics, the combination of centralized control, minimal liquidity depth, and concentration creates material rug/dump risk. The 157% 24h pump on thin liquidity amplifies volatility exposure. No audit, no LP lock, and unknown deployer governance leave holders exposed to immediate liquidity withdrawal and potential owner-controlled supply manipulation.; CRITICAL: 100% unlocked liquidity on thin 2.8% ratio — immediate rug-pull capability exists, 94.06% top-10 concentration — holders face coordinated exit risk with no distribution safety; risks: 100% unlocked liquidity with only 2.8% liquidity-to-mcap ratio — LP can be withdrawn instantly, creating immediate rug vector on a $37.5M valuation, Extreme concentration: top 10 holders control 94.06% of supply — coordinated dump risk is severe, especially post-157% pump, Active Ownable2Step ownership not renounced — owner retains transferOwnership capability; no evidence of multisig or timelock governance, FDV ($4M) is 89% below market cap ($37.5M) — implies 90%+ of total supply is locked/unvested, creating massive future dilution and unlock pressure; confidence 0.72",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.72
    },
    "SocialBot": {
      "score": 5.5,
      "sentiment": "bullish",
      "category": "Social",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "X/Twitter sentiment (Grok); sub-scores: OE=8.0, IQ=7.0, CG=8.0, BSD=9.0; ⚠️ BREAKING: veMEZO rewards live on MEZO/MUSD Aerodrome pool; LBank and Gate listings announced; $500M MUSD transaction volume milestone; Mezo Network ($MEZO) exhibits robust social health for a nascent token launch. Official account @MezoNetwork (113k followers, verified) is highly active, promoting BTC DeFi features like veMEZO rewards, Aerodrome liquidity incentives, and protocol milestones (e.g., $500M MUSD volume). Recent price surges (+157% 24h) spark organic trader chatter on Base ecosystem accounts, with listings on LBank/Gate adding momentum. No bot spam evident; focus on genuine BTCfi narratives.; narratives: Permissionless Bitcoin banking on Base, veMEZO/veBTC flywheel for BTC yield multipliers, Aerodrome of Bitcoin: capital efficiency without selling BTC; fake/coordination risk: 2/100; signals: Aerodrome veAERO voting for MEZO/MUSD pool rewards, Weekly epoch claims and gauge boosts on Matchbox; confidence 0.90",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.9
    }
  },
  "consensus_narrative": "The swarm largely agreed on MEZO's extremely high-risk profile, driven by critical structural flaws. TokenomicsBot, DevilsAdvocate, and SecurityBot all flagged the severe ownership concentration, with the top 10 holders controlling 94.06% of the supply, and 100% unlocked liquidity, creating significant rug pull potential. The unusual MCap/FDV ratio (9.34x) and the FDV being 89% lower than market cap further underscored future dilution risks. While SocialBot noted robust social health and active trading volume, this was largely dismissed by other agents due to fundamental security and tokenomic vulnerabilities. The final F grade reflects these overwhelming red flags. Avoid this token due to its severe centralization and liquidity risks.",
  "debates": [
    {
      "topic": "Technical vs Tokenomics",
      "resolution": "This conflict highlights a critical divergence: strong current market activity (TechnicalBot) doesn't negate severe underlying structural risks (TokenomicsBot). Investors face a scenario where current trading might seem robust, but extreme centralization and unusual tokenomics could lead to sudden price manipulation or collapse, despite apparent user engagement.",
      "outcome": "noted",
      "rounds": [
        {
          "phase": "challenge",
          "agent": "TokenomicsBot",
          "agentName": "Tokenomics",
          "target": "TechnicianBot",
          "targetName": "Technician",
          "content": "Cross-category conflict: Tokenomics scored 2.1/10 while Technical scored 5.0/10. This 2.9-point gap suggests the token's strengths in Technical may not translate to Tokenomics reliability.",
          "round": 1,
          "stance": "challenge"
        },
        {
          "phase": "resolution",
          "agent": "TokenomicsBot",
          "agentName": "Tokenomics",
          "content": "This conflict highlights a critical divergence: strong current market activity (TechnicalBot) doesn't negate severe underlying structural risks (TokenomicsBot). Investors face a scenario where current trading might seem robust, but extreme centralization and unusual tokenomics could lead to sudden price manipulation or collapse, despite apparent user engagement.",
          "round": 2,
          "stance": "noted"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "topic": "Devil's Advocate vs SocialBot",
      "resolution": "Split verdict: SocialBot maintains 8.0, Devil's Advocate maintains 1.5. Both positions presented.",
      "outcome": "split",
      "rounds": [
        {
          "phase": "challenge",
          "agent": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "agentName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "target": "SocialBot",
          "targetName": "Social",
          "content": "⚔️ SocialBot's optimism is dangerously myopic, ignoring that the 'robust social health' and 'price surges' are built on a house of cards: 94.06% holder concentration, 100% unlocked liquidity, and an 'impossible' MCap/FDV ratio of 9.34, creating extreme rug pull risk. Active social accounts and exchange listings mean nothing if the token's fundamental structure allows for a catastrophic dump by a few whales, rendering any 'milestones' irrelevant.",
          "round": 1,
          "stance": "challenge"
        },
        {
          "phase": "defense",
          "agent": "SocialBot",
          "agentName": "Social",
          "target": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "targetName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "content": "While acknowledging the valid concerns regarding holder concentration and liquidity as critical fundamental risks, my 8.0 score specifically reflects MEZO's robust *social health*—evidenced by high official activity, significant community engagement around new features (veMEZO, listings), and positive sentiment driving organic chatter. Strong social momentum and awareness can exist independently of underlying tokenomic risks, indicating effective communication and community capture despite potential vulnerabilities.",
          "round": 2,
          "stance": "defend"
        },
        {
          "phase": "rebuttal",
          "agent": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "agentName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "target": "SocialBot",
          "targetName": "Social",
          "content": "⚔️ Social's focus on 'social health' and 'community engagement' completely sidesteps the fundamental risk that 94.06% holder concentration and 100% unlocked liquidity enable a catastrophic dump by a few whales, irrespective of community sentiment. Positive chatter and new features are irrelevant if the token's structural vulnerabilities mean a single entity could wipe out all value, rendering social momentum meaningless for long-term holders.",
          "round": 3,
          "stance": "escalate"
        },
        {
          "phase": "resolution",
          "agent": "SocialBot",
          "agentName": "Social",
          "content": "While acknowledging the significant risk posed by 94.06% holder concentration and 100% unlocked liquidity, my 8.0 score reflects the project's robust social health, active development, and strategic community engagement, which are crucial for long-term resilience and value accrual, even amidst potential market volatility. These factors indicate a strong foundation for recovery and growth, mitigating, but not eliminating, the immediate dump risk.",
          "round": 4,
          "stance": "defend"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "topic": "Score Calibration",
      "resolution": "Consensus after 2 round(s), σ=0.92",
      "outcome": "consensus"
    },
    {
      "topic": "Peer Review",
      "resolution": "DEBATE DEFENSES AND CHALLENGES:\n  [SecurityBot] Defense: MEZO exhibits a high-risk security posture due to 100% unlocked liquidity, extreme top-10 holder concentration at 94.06%, and the presence of Ownable2\n    → Challenges SocialBot: SocialBot's score of 8.0 is excessively high given the severe security vulnerabilities, including co\n  [TechnicianBot] Defense: The MEZO token demonstrates active participation with a high transaction count and significant trading volume, indicating a level of market interest a\n    → Challenges TokenomicsBot: TokenomicsBot's score is too low because despite distribution concerns, the token shows real-world a\n    → Challenges SocialBot: SocialBot's score is too high as while social sentiment might be positive, the underlying tokenomics\n  [TokenomicsBot] Defense: The token's extreme ownership concentration (top 10 holders control 94.06%) and an unusual MCap/FDV ratio of 9.34, coupled with 100% unlocked liquidit\n    → Challenges TechnicianBot: TechnicianBot"
    }
  ],
  "upgrade_cta": false,
  "warnings": [
    {
      "severity": "high",
      "code": "MINTABLE",
      "message": "Token supply can be minted"
    },
    {
      "severity": "high",
      "code": "TOP10_CONCENTRATION",
      "message": "Top 10 holders concentration is very high"
    },
    {
      "severity": "high",
      "code": "VOL_LIQ_RATIO",
      "message": "24h volume/liquidity ratio is 10.77:1 — elevated wash-trading/manipulation risk"
    },
    {
      "severity": "medium",
      "code": "high_holder_concentration",
      "message": "high_holder_concentration"
    }
  ],
  "scan_tier": "PRO_PLUS",
  "success": true,
  "og": {
    "title": "VerdictSwarm: MEZO — Score 39/100",
    "description": "The swarm largely agreed on MEZO's extremely high-risk profile, driven by critical structural flaws. TokenomicsBot, DevilsAdvocate, and SecurityBot all flagged the severe ownership concentration, with",
    "url": "https://www.vswarm.io/report/0x8e4cbbcc33db6c0a18561fde1f6ba35906d4848b"
  }
}