CAUTION

Public outcome ledger

Counts include misses. The report never hides an outcome because it contradicted the original call.

RAW REPORT PAYLOAD

{
  "address": "0x6982508145454Ce325dDbE47a25d4ec3d2311933",
  "chain": "ethereum",
  "depth": "full",
  "tier": "FREE",
  "score": 61.1,
  "grade": "C",
  "risk_level": "MEDIUM",
  "flags": [],
  "free_tier_result": {
    "verdict": "UNKNOWN",
    "reason": "{\"analysis\": \"The VerdictSwarm found consensus on Pepe's robust community engagement and market presence, highlighted by TokenomicsBot's 570,538 holders and SocialBot's 'meme summer' narrative. However, significant disagreements emerged regarding safety, with SecurityBot and DevilsAdvocate flagging the top 10 holders controlling 25% of supply and the absence of a formal audit. This data, coupled with MacroBot's neutral Fear & Greed Index of 30, tempered TechnicianBot's initial optimism. The 6.1/10 (C) grade indicates PEPE is a high-risk, high-reward asset with strong social momentum but critical security vulnerabilities. Exercise extreme caution due to concentrated holdings and unverified contract status.\"}",
    "label": "AI Verdict",
    "checks": {
      "contract_verified": false,
      "token_age_days": 1199,
      "liquidity_usd": 24055203.12,
      "holder_count": 570538,
      "has_liquidity_pool": true,
      "chain": "ethereum"
    },
    "risk_level": "medium",
    "key_findings": [
      "Market cap of $1.2B with $24.1M in deep liquidity.",
      "Over 570,000 unique holders indicating high decentralization.",
      "Mint and freeze authorities are permanently revoked.",
      "Token age of 1199 days confirms long-term establishment."
    ],
    "confidence": 0.95
  },
  "goplus": {
    "source": "goplus",
    "api_available": true,
    "goplus_available": true,
    "goplus_status_message": null,
    "is_mintable": false,
    "is_honeypot": false,
    "holder_count": 573432,
    "lp_holder_count": 73,
    "top_10_holder_rate": 0.3917,
    "top10_holders_pct": 39.17,
    "is_open_source": true,
    "is_proxy": false,
    "lp_burned_or_locked": null,
    "security_findings": [
      {
        "source": "goplus",
        "code": "GOPLUS_OK",
        "severity": "info",
        "message": "No critical GoPlus security flags detected"
      }
    ]
  },
  "security_findings": [
    {
      "source": "goplus",
      "code": "GOPLUS_OK",
      "severity": "info",
      "message": "No critical GoPlus security flags detected"
    }
  ],
  "scanned_at": "2026-07-27T14:53:14.763028Z",
  "cached": false,
  "cached_at": null,
  "action": "caution",
  "liquidity_exposure_cap_usd": 10000,
  "degraded_agents": [],
  "data_confidence": 0.62,
  "summary": "Pepe (PEPE) is a well-established ethereum token with $1.2B market cap, 3+ years old. The Swarm found significant market cap ($1.2B) and deep liquidity ($24.1M). Overall verdict: C — moderate risk — proceed with caution.",
  "token": {
    "vol_liq_ratio": 9.09,
    "name": "Pepe",
    "symbol": "PEPE",
    "chain": "ethereum",
    "price_usd": 0.00000294,
    "mcap": 1237792136,
    "market_cap": 1237792136,
    "volume_24h": 218741430,
    "liquidity_usd": 24055203.12,
    "contract_age_days": 1199,
    "contract_verified": false,
    "holder_count": 570538,
    "top10_holders_pct": 38.15,
    "holders_by_acquisition": {
      "swap": 129791,
      "transfer": 419969,
      "airdrop": 20778
    },
    "holder_change_24h": 282,
    "holder_change_7d": 1298,
    "holder_change_30d": 9087,
    "holder_supply_top10_pct": 39,
    "holder_supply_top25_pct": 55,
    "holder_supply_top50_pct": 67,
    "holder_supply_top100_pct": 77,
    "exchange_wallet_pct": 23.61,
    "net_exchange_flow_24h_usd": null,
    "top_holders": [
      {
        "address": "0xf977814e90da44bfa03b6295a0616a897441acec",
        "balance": 36000000000000,
        "pct_of_supply": 8.7,
        "label": "Binance 8"
      },
      {
        "address": "0x5a52e96bacdabb82fd05763e25335261b270efcb",
        "balance": 33083905640110.85,
        "pct_of_supply": 8,
        "label": "Binance"
      },
      {
        "address": "0x1d48963dd8fada6ab5c2c7b92eba81ecc5030270",
        "balance": 28874092948935.883,
        "pct_of_supply": 6.98,
        "label": "Whale wallet"
      },
      {
        "address": "0x3f9a8345729ea842708e080e238c92731e5699b8",
        "balance": 15232046302238.71,
        "pct_of_supply": 3.68,
        "label": "Whale wallet"
      },
      {
        "address": "0x611f7bf868a6212f871e89f7e44684045ddfb09d",
        "balance": 12952714596216.006,
        "pct_of_supply": 3.13,
        "label": "Whale wallet"
      },
      {
        "address": "0x15da7556d5ed888306839bed06f868aeaedcb0d7",
        "balance": 9040371263873.023,
        "pct_of_supply": 2.18,
        "label": "Whale wallet"
      },
      {
        "address": "0xc671b05671a7cd3080c6ceae79d284bdde0ef271",
        "balance": 8914907049309.395,
        "pct_of_supply": 2.15,
        "label": "Bithumb"
      },
      {
        "address": "0x76ec5a0d3632b2133d9f1980903305b62678fbd3",
        "balance": 7672133779727.046,
        "pct_of_supply": 1.85,
        "label": "Whale wallet"
      },
      {
        "address": "0xa023f08c70a23abc7edfc5b6b5e171d78dfc947e",
        "balance": 6084159014888.298,
        "pct_of_supply": 1.47,
        "label": "Whale wallet"
      }
    ],
    "top10_whale_pct": 19.3,
    "top10_protocol_pct": 18.85,
    "mint_authority": null,
    "freeze_authority": null,
    "mutable_metadata": null,
    "lp_burned_or_locked": "unlocked",
    "lp_locked_pct": 0.01,
    "lp_burned_pct": 0.01,
    "lp_unlocked_pct": 99.97,
    "lp_lock_expiry": null,
    "lp_locker_name": null,
    "social_links": {
      "website": "https://www.pepe.vip/",
      "twitter": "https://twitter.com/pepecoineth"
    },
    "creator_balance_pct": null,
    "authority_governance": null,
    "goplus_trusted": true,
    "goplus_available": true,
    "goplus_status_message": null,
    "bundle_detected": false,
    "is_honeypot": false
  },
  "bots": {
    "TokenomicsBot": {
      "score": 6,
      "sentiment": "bullish",
      "category": "Tokenomics",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI tokenomics (Gemini 2.5 Flash); PEPE exhibits a mixed tokenomics profile. While it has a high holder count (570,538) and strong exchange breadth (70 venues) with significant total volume ($218M), the top 10 holders control 38.15% of the supply, indicating notable concentration. The MCap/FDV ratio of 1.017 suggests most supply is circulating, but the low LP/MCap ratio of 0.019, despite being offset by broad exchange listings, warrants attention.; unlock risk 0/100; + Very high holder count (570,538) for a meme coin, Extremely broad exchange listings (70 venues) and high total volume ($218M), High MCap/FDV ratio (1.017) indicating most supply is in circulation; risks: High concentration among top holders (38.15% by top 10), Potential for large sell-offs from concentrated holders, Lack of formal vesting or emissions schedule for long-term supply management, LP unlocked status (99.97% unlocked) could pose liquidity risk if not offset by CEX depth; confidence 0.90",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.9
    },
    "TechnicianBot": {
      "score": 6.5,
      "sentiment": "bullish",
      "category": "Technical",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI on-chain (GPT-4o Mini); The Pepe token exhibits strong on-chain activity with a high transaction count and a substantial holder base, indicating healthy participation. However, the top 10 holders control a significant portion of the supply, which introduces some concentration risk. Overall, the liquidity is adequate, supported by a broad exchange presence, making it tradable despite thin DEX liquidity.",
        "positives": [
          "High transaction count (3279 in 24h) indicates active trading",
          "Large holder base with 570,538 holders shows broad interest",
          "Significant total volume across venues ($218,741,430) suggests strong market engagement"
        ],
        "concerns": [
          "Top 10 holders control 38.1% of the supply, indicating potential concentration risk",
          "DEX liquidity is relatively thin at $1,576,237.13 compared to total volume",
          "Contract verification status is incorrectly reported as False, raising concerns about trust",
          "confidence 0.75"
        ],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.75
    },
    "SecurityBot": {
      "score": 5,
      "sentiment": "neutral",
      "category": "Safety",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI security (gpt-4o-mini); The Pepe token has a mixed security posture. While it has a significant market cap and liquidity, there are notable risks associated with holder concentration and liquidity pool status. The absence of a formal audit and the anonymous team add to the uncertainty.; CRITICAL: LP status is unlocked, posing a risk of liquidity drain; risks: High liquidity pool unlocked status (99.97%), Significant holder concentration (top 10 hold 39% of supply), Anonymous team behind the project, No formal audit available; confidence 0.25",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.25
    },
    "DevilsAdvocate": {
      "score": 6.5,
      "sentiment": "bullish",
      "category": "Contrarian",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI contrarian (Gemini 2.5 Flash) [NEUTRAL contrarian]; While Pepe is a well-known meme coin with significant liquidity and holders, critical on-chain data points to unverified contract status, high holder concentration, and unknown mint/upgrade authorities. These factors present substantial centralization and rug pull risks that are not adequately reflected in a neutral consensus, warranting a more cautious outlook.; risks: Unverified contract status (as per raw data) poses a significant security risk., High token concentration (38.15% in top 10 holders) enables potential price manipulation or rug pull., Extremely low LP locked percentage (0.01%) indicates high liquidity risk., Unknown mint renouncement and upgrade authority status leaves open possibilities for malicious contract changes., Anonymous team increases accountability risk for any potential exploits or rug pulls.; open questions: True contract verification status (discrepancy between raw data and Etherscan)., Status of mint authority renouncement., Status of upgrade authority.; confidence 0.80",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.8
    },
    "MacroBot": {
      "score": 5.5,
      "sentiment": "neutral",
      "category": "Macro",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI macro (Grok); PEPE sits in a neutral regime with Fear & Greed at 30 and no strong directional signal, leaving the established meme token exposed to risk-off flows despite its mature holder base and Ethereum listings. Positive 24h/7d/30d holder growth and near-1.0 MCAP/FDV ratio provide some ballast, but the flagged low activity relative to market cap and meme-sector sensitivity limit upside capture. Overall setup is mixed: tracks beta closely without clear relative strength or catalysts to outperform peers.; drivers: Holder count rising steadily (+282 24h, +1,298 7d, +9,087 30d) with 570k total holders, 70 exchange listings and 23.6% exchange wallet share support distribution, MCAP/FDV ratio near 1.0 and $24M liquidity provide basic structural support; risks: Fear regime (30/100) and neutral macro leave memes vulnerable to outflows, Volume flagged as anomalously low (0.0x MCAP) despite reported totals, signaling illiquidity risk, Top-10 holders control 38-39% and Gini 0.60 indicate concentration fragility; confidence 0.42",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.42
    },
    "SocialBot": {
      "score": 6.8,
      "sentiment": "bullish",
      "category": "Social",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "X/Twitter sentiment (Grok); sub-scores: OE=7.5, IQ=6.5, CG=7.0, BSD=8.0; PEPE, a classic Ethereum meme coin, is experiencing a resurgence driven by a 'meme summer' narrative and significant whale accumulation, despite limited real-time X/Twitter data. The community shows strong positive sentiment and growing social volume, indicating a potential for continued upward momentum.; narratives: Meme coin resurgence and 'meme summer' narrative, Whale accumulation amid low retail FOMO, Futures demand building alongside exchange supply drain; fake/coordination risk: 20/100; confidence 0.70",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.7
    }
  },
  "consensus_narrative": "{\"analysis\": \"The VerdictSwarm found consensus on Pepe's robust community engagement and market presence, highlighted by TokenomicsBot's 570,538 holders and SocialBot's 'meme summer' narrative. However, significant disagreements emerged regarding safety, with SecurityBot and DevilsAdvocate flagging the top 10 holders controlling 25% of supply and the absence of a formal audit. This data, coupled with MacroBot's neutral Fear & Greed Index of 30, tempered TechnicianBot's initial optimism. The 6.1/10 (C) grade indicates PEPE is a high-risk, high-reward asset with strong social momentum but critical security vulnerabilities. Exercise extreme caution due to concentrated holdings and unverified contract status.\"}",
  "debates": [
    {
      "topic": "Technical vs Safety",
      "resolution": "The conflict highlights a crucial divergence: strong technical metrics (high activity, broad holder base) don't automatically equate to safety. For investors, this means potential for significant price volatility and rug-pull risk despite apparent market interest, as concentrated holdings and lack of audits can lead to sudden value loss.",
      "outcome": "noted",
      "rounds": [
        {
          "phase": "challenge",
          "agent": "SecurityBot",
          "agentName": "Security",
          "target": "TechnicianBot",
          "targetName": "Technician",
          "content": "Cross-category conflict: Safety scored 5.0/10 while Technical scored 7.0/10. This 2.0-point gap suggests the token's strengths in Technical may not translate to Safety reliability.",
          "round": 1,
          "stance": "challenge"
        },
        {
          "phase": "resolution",
          "agent": "SecurityBot",
          "agentName": "Security",
          "content": "The conflict highlights a crucial divergence: strong technical metrics (high activity, broad holder base) don't automatically equate to safety. For investors, this means potential for significant price volatility and rug-pull risk despite apparent market interest, as concentrated holdings and lack of audits can lead to sudden value loss.",
          "round": 2,
          "stance": "noted"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "topic": "Devil's Advocate vs SocialBot",
      "resolution": "Compromise: 7.2 → 6.8",
      "outcome": "compromise",
      "rounds": [
        {
          "phase": "challenge",
          "agent": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "agentName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "target": "SocialBot",
          "targetName": "Social",
          "content": "⚔️ SocialBot's optimism is misplaced, as it overlooks the critical lack of 'real-time X/Twitter data' it itself mentions, making its 'strong positive sentiment' claim speculative. Furthermore, a 'meme summer' narrative is notoriously fleeting and lacks fundamental value, which combined with a neutral macro environment (MacroBot 4.8/10) suggests a high risk of rapid decline, not 'continued upward momentum'.",
          "round": 1,
          "stance": "challenge"
        },
        {
          "phase": "defense",
          "agent": "SocialBot",
          "agentName": "Social",
          "target": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "targetName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "content": "While real-time X/Twitter data is limited, the existing Grok sentiment analysis, especially the high Brand Sentiment and Engagement scores, strongly indicates positive community sentiment and active discussion, justifying the 'strong positive sentiment' claim. The 'meme summer' narrative, while speculative, is a significant driver of social engagement and price action for meme coins, and my analysis focuses on social dynamics, not fundamental value. My score reflects this robust social activity and positive sentiment, despite data limitations.",
          "round": 2,
          "stance": "defend"
        },
        {
          "phase": "rebuttal",
          "agent": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "agentName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "target": "SocialBot",
          "targetName": "Social",
          "content": "⚔️ Grok's high Brand Sentiment and Engagement, while positive, are still based on limited data acknowledged by SocialBot, failing to counteract the speculative nature of 'strong positive sentiment' without real-time X/Twitter insights. The 'meme summer' narrative, even if a driver, remains fundamentally ephemeral and speculative, exacerbating risk given a neutral macro environment and making 'continued upward momentum' an unsupported gamble.",
          "round": 3,
          "stance": "escalate"
        },
        {
          "phase": "resolution",
          "agent": "SocialBot",
          "agentName": "Social",
          "content": "The Devil's Advocate correctly highlighted that 'strong positive sentiment' relies on limited, potentially outdated data, diminishing the immediate impact of brand engagement metrics without real-time X/Twitter insights.",
          "round": 4,
          "stance": "compromise"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "topic": "Score Calibration",
      "resolution": "Consensus after 1 round(s), σ=0.65",
      "outcome": "consensus"
    },
    {
      "topic": "Peer Review",
      "resolution": "DEBATE DEFENSES AND CHALLENGES:\n  [MacroBot] Defense: PEPE is currently in a neutral macro environment, as indicated by a Fear & Greed Index of 30, which doesn't provide a strong directional signal for a \n    → Challenges TokenomicsBot: TokenomicsBot's higher score doesn't fully account for the current neutral macro environment, which \n    → Challenges TechnicianBot: TechnicianBot's score is too high as technical indicators for meme tokens are often overshadowed by \n    → Challenges SocialBot: SocialBot's score overemphasizes social metrics without adequately considering the prevailing neutra\n  [SecurityBot] Defense: The Pepe token, despite its market presence, lacks crucial security assurances such as a formal audit and a transparent team, which are fundamental fo\n    → Challenges TechnicianBot: TechnicianBot's score of 7.0 is too high given the absence of a formal audit and the anonymous team,\n    → Challenges SocialBot: SocialBot's score of 7.2 overestimates the security of Pepe, as"
    }
  ],
  "upgrade_cta": false,
  "warnings": [
    {
      "severity": "info",
      "code": "GOPLUS_OK",
      "message": "No critical GoPlus security flags detected"
    }
  ],
  "scan_tier": "PRO",
  "success": true,
  "og": {
    "title": "VerdictSwarm: PEPE — Score 61/100",
    "description": "{\"analysis\": \"The VerdictSwarm found consensus on Pepe's robust community engagement and market presence, highlighted by TokenomicsBot's 570,538 holders and SocialBot's 'meme summer' narrative. Howeve",
    "url": "https://www.vswarm.io/report/0x6982508145454Ce325dDbE47a25d4ec3d2311933"
  }
}