UNSETTLED

Public outcome ledger

Counts include misses. The report never hides an outcome because it contradicted the original call.

RAW REPORT PAYLOAD

{
  "address": "0x557e8f1cd9fb4e9dfeca817b15b737328d90821a",
  "chain": "base",
  "depth": "full",
  "tier": "FREE",
  "score": 38,
  "grade": "F",
  "risk_level": "CRITICAL",
  "flags": [
    "high_holder_concentration",
    "very_new_contract"
  ],
  "free_tier_result": {
    "verdict": "UNHEALTHY",
    "reason": "This is a very new token with extremely low liquidity relative to its trading volume, high holder concentration, and no established utility or project, indicating high risk for a rug pull or rapid value depreciation.",
    "label": "AI Verdict",
    "checks": {
      "contract_verified": true,
      "token_age_days": 1,
      "liquidity_usd": 26672.41,
      "holder_count": 273,
      "has_liquidity_pool": true,
      "chain": "base"
    },
    "risk_level": "critical",
    "key_findings": [
      "Token is 1 day old, making it extremely speculative.",
      "Market Cap ($33K) is disproportionately low compared to 24h Volume ($233K), suggesting wash trading or extreme volatility.",
      "Liquidity ($27K) is insufficient for the reported 24h volume, indicating potential for significant price impact on trades.",
      "Top 10 holders control 74.0% of the supply, with 0% attributed to protocol-controlled wallets, posing a high risk of developer dump.",
      "Mint and Freeze authorities are revoked, which is positive, but does not mitigate other risks for a new, concentrated token.",
      "Mutable Metadata status is unknown, which is a potential risk for a new token.",
      "RugCheck data is N/A, which is neutral, but the fundamental metrics are concerning."
    ],
    "confidence": 0.9
  },
  "goplus": {
    "source": "goplus",
    "api_available": true,
    "goplus_available": true,
    "goplus_status_message": null,
    "is_mintable": false,
    "is_honeypot": false,
    "holder_count": 273,
    "lp_holder_count": 1,
    "top_10_holder_rate": 0.7395,
    "top10_holders_pct": 73.95,
    "is_open_source": true,
    "is_proxy": false,
    "lp_burned_or_locked": null,
    "security_findings": [
      {
        "source": "goplus",
        "code": "TOP10_CONCENTRATION",
        "severity": "medium",
        "message": "Top 10 holders concentration is elevated",
        "value": 73.95
      }
    ]
  },
  "security_findings": [
    {
      "source": "goplus",
      "code": "TOP10_CONCENTRATION",
      "severity": "medium",
      "message": "Top 10 holders concentration is elevated",
      "value": 73.95
    }
  ],
  "scanned_at": "2026-04-17T12:28:56.906800Z",
  "cached": false,
  "cached_at": null,
  "liquidity_exposure_cap_usd": 200.04,
  "summary": "TRANSMUTE ORACLE (TRANSMUTE) is a base token with $33K market cap, 1 days old.  Key concerns: security risks, tokenomics concerns. Overall verdict: F — critical risk — not recommended.",
  "token": {
    "vol_liq_ratio": 8.72,
    "name": "TRANSMUTE ORACLE",
    "symbol": "TRANSMUTE",
    "chain": "base",
    "price_usd": 3.314e-7,
    "mcap": 33110,
    "market_cap": 33110,
    "volume_24h": 232685.47,
    "liquidity_usd": 26672.41,
    "contract_age_days": 1,
    "contract_verified": true,
    "holder_count": 273,
    "top10_holders_pct": 73.95,
    "holders_by_acquisition": null,
    "holder_change_24h": null,
    "holder_change_7d": null,
    "holder_change_30d": null,
    "holder_supply_top10_pct": null,
    "holder_supply_top25_pct": null,
    "holder_supply_top50_pct": null,
    "holder_supply_top100_pct": null,
    "exchange_wallet_pct": null,
    "net_exchange_flow_24h_usd": null,
    "top_holders": null,
    "top10_whale_pct": null,
    "top10_protocol_pct": null,
    "mint_authority": null,
    "freeze_authority": null,
    "mutable_metadata": null,
    "lp_burned_or_locked": "unlocked",
    "lp_locked_pct": 0,
    "lp_burned_pct": 0,
    "lp_unlocked_pct": 100,
    "lp_lock_expiry": null,
    "lp_locker_name": null,
    "social_links": {
      "website": "https://transmute-ten.vercel.app/",
      "twitter": "https://x.com/Chainriffs"
    },
    "creator_balance_pct": null,
    "authority_governance": null,
    "goplus_trusted": true,
    "goplus_available": true,
    "goplus_status_message": null,
    "bundle_detected": false,
    "is_honeypot": false
  },
  "bots": {
    "TechnicianBot": {
      "score": 4,
      "sentiment": "neutral",
      "category": "Technical",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI on-chain (GPT-4o Mini); TRANSMUTE ORACLE is a nascent token with a relatively high transaction count for its age, indicating some level of organic activity. However, the top 10 holders control nearly 74% of the supply, suggesting significant concentration and potential fragility in distribution. The liquidity is thin relative to the market cap, which could impact trading stability.",
        "positives": [
          "High transaction count of 1841 in the last 24 hours, indicating active trading",
          "Significant price increase of 192% in the last 24 hours, suggesting speculative interest",
          "Verified contract, which adds a layer of trust"
        ],
        "concerns": [
          "Top 10 holders control 73.95% of the supply, indicating high concentration risk",
          "Liquidity is low at $26,672.41 compared to the market cap of $33,110.00",
          "Lack of data on broader venue mix and exchange listings limits understanding of overall market access",
          "confidence 0.50"
        ],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.5
    },
    "SocialBot": {
      "score": 4,
      "sentiment": "neutral",
      "category": "Social",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "X/Twitter sentiment (Grok); sub-scores: OE=5.0, IQ=5.5, CG=5.0, BSD=8.0; ⚠️ BREAKING: $TRANSMUTE launched on @flaunchgg on Base, quickly reached #1 in volume; Dev commits to weekly locking 10% of fees for buybacks and supply reduction; TRANSMUTE ORACLE ($TRANSMUTE) launched recently on Base via @flaunchgg, positioning itself as an AI agent/terminal for alpha hunting. The project has seen initial positive momentum, reaching #1 in volume on its launchpad, with the dev actively promoting and committing to long-term tokenomics like weekly buybacks. However, social data is extremely sparse, making it too early to assess genuine community health or broader market sentiment beyond initial promotional efforts.; narratives: AI agent/terminal for alpha hunting, macro reports, narrative analysis, Base ecosystem revival via @flaunchgg launchpad, Community-driven development with VIP group for large holders; fake/coordination risk: 20/100; confidence 0.40",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.4
    },
    "MacroBot": {
      "score": 4,
      "sentiment": "neutral",
      "category": "Macro",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI macro (Grok); TRANSMUTE ORACLE, a 1-day-old Base launch via flaunchgg, shows early hype with +192% price gain and #1 volume ranking amid Base ecosystem revival, bolstered by dev token locks and buyback commitments reducing rug risk. However, extreme holder concentration (top 10 at 74%), tiny $33k MCAP, and 7x volume/MCAP anomaly signal fragility in an Extreme Fear regime (F&G 23) where small caps are vulnerable to drawdowns. Neutral macro positions it as opportunistically placed for Base/AI narrative rotations but lacking liquidity resilience versus peers.; drivers: Quick #1 volume on flaunchgg with dev-paid DEX boost and 536M token lock via Sablier, Weekly fee locks for buybacks signaling long-term commitment, Base chain volume revival and AI agent narrative for alpha hunting; risks: High holder concentration (top 10: 74%) exposes to dumps, Volume/MCAP 7x anomaly flags potential wash trading or unsustainable hype, Tiny $33k MCAP and $27k liquidity highly fragile in Extreme Fear sentiment; confidence 0.65",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.65
    },
    "DevilsAdvocate": {
      "score": 1.5,
      "sentiment": "bearish",
      "category": "Contrarian",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI contrarian (Gemini 2.5 Flash) [NEUTRAL contrarian]; The TRANSMUTE ORACLE token, despite being nascent, exhibits critical security flaws with its 0% LP lock and extreme holder concentration. These factors, combined with a lack of project information and a rapid initial price pump, create an extremely high risk of a rug pull. Any perceived neutrality or bullish sentiment is fundamentally misguided.; risks: Imminent rug pull potential due to 0% LP locked and 73.95% supply controlled by top 10 holders., Lack of project description or stated utility, making it impossible to assess fundamental value., High insider concentration enables price manipulation and dumping on retail investors., Uncertain mint authority status (unknown) adds to potential for supply inflation or other malicious actions., Rapid 192% price increase on day one is likely speculative and unsustainable given underlying risks.; open questions: Status of mint authority (renounced or not)., Identity and intentions of the top holders., Any genuine utility or development plan for the 'TRANSMUTE ORACLE' project.; confidence 0.90",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.9
    },
    "TokenomicsBot": {
      "score": 3,
      "sentiment": "bearish",
      "category": "Tokenomics",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI tokenomics (Gemini 2.5 Flash); This is a high-risk, nascent token with extremely high ownership concentration and fully unlocked liquidity. The top 10 holders control 73.95% of the supply, and with 100% of the liquidity pool unlocked, there is a significant risk of a rug pull. While the liquidity-to-market cap ratio of 0.806 is very strong, this positive is overshadowed by the severe structural risks.; unlock risk 100/100; + Very high liquidity relative to market cap (LP/MCap ratio of 0.806)., High trading volume relative to market cap, suggesting initial speculative interest., The Market Cap to Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) ratio is nearly 1, indicating no immediate token overhang from uncirculated supply.; risks: 100% of liquidity is unlocked, posing an extreme and immediate rug pull risk., Extreme ownership concentration, with the top 10 holders controlling 73.95% of the supply., The token is only one day old, making it highly speculative and volatile., A very low holder count of 273 indicates a lack of organic adoption and distribution.; confidence 0.70",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.7
    },
    "SecurityBot": {
      "score": 4,
      "sentiment": "bearish",
      "category": "Safety",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI security (Claude Sonnet 4.5); TRANSMUTE ORACLE is a 1-day-old Base token using the Flaunch memecoin factory pattern with verified source code. The contract implements ERC20Votes with upgradeable patterns and includes a privileged mint function callable only by the Flaunch factory. Critical concerns: 100% unlocked liquidity ($26.7k), extreme top-10 concentration (73.95%), and the Flaunch factory retains permanent mint authority. While the contract itself shows professional implementation with Optimism Superchain integration, the economic structure exposes holders to immediate rug risk via LP withdrawal. The mint function is architecturally constrained to the factory but represents a trust assumption. For a nascent token, missing social/audit data is expected, but the unlocked LP and concentration create material exploitability regardless of code quality.; CRITICAL: 100% unlocked liquidity with no lock, burn, or custody mechanism — immediate rug vector, Mint function callable by Flaunch factory with no supply cap or rate limit — unbounded inflation risk; risks: 100% unlocked liquidity ($26.7k) — creator can drain the entire pool at any time with zero technical barrier, Permanent mint authority held by Flaunch factory (0x...sender) — while architecturally constrained, this creates unbounded supply inflation risk if factory is compromised or malicious, Extreme holder concentration: top 10 control 73.95% of supply — coordinated dump risk or single-entity control masquerading as distribution, 1-day-old token with 273 holders and $33k mcap — no operating history to validate that mint/LP controls won't be abused; confidence 0.75",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.75
    }
  },
  "consensus_narrative": "{\"analysis\": \"The swarm largely agreed on the extreme risk profile of TRANSMUTE ORACLE, driven by critical findings from TokenomicsBot, SecurityBot, and Devil'sAdvocate. Key concerns include 73.95% supply controlled by the top 10 holders and 100% unlocked liquidity, creating high rug pull potential. While TechnicianBot noted a high transaction count (1841 in 24h) and SocialBot observed initial hype, these were heavily challenged by SecurityBot highlighting permanent mint authority and fundamental security flaws. The final F grade reflects these severe structural vulnerabilities, indicating an extremely high-risk investment despite early activity. Avoid this token due to imminent rug pull potential and extreme centralization.\"}",
  "debates": [
    {
      "topic": "Technical vs Tokenomics",
      "resolution": "This conflict matters because TechnicianBot's 'organic activity' observation, while positive, is critically undermined by TokenomicsBot's identification of severe structural risks. Investors could be lured by perceived early engagement only to face significant capital loss due to extreme ownership concentration and the potential for a rug pull from unlocked liquidity, despite initial transaction volume.",
      "outcome": "noted",
      "rounds": [
        {
          "phase": "challenge",
          "agent": "TokenomicsBot",
          "agentName": "Tokenomics",
          "target": "TechnicianBot",
          "targetName": "Technician",
          "content": "Cross-category conflict: Tokenomics scored 2.5/10 while Technical scored 5.0/10. This 2.5-point gap suggests the token's strengths in Technical may not translate to Tokenomics reliability.",
          "round": 1,
          "stance": "challenge"
        },
        {
          "phase": "resolution",
          "agent": "TokenomicsBot",
          "agentName": "Tokenomics",
          "content": "This conflict matters because TechnicianBot's 'organic activity' observation, while positive, is critically undermined by TokenomicsBot's identification of severe structural risks. Investors could be lured by perceived early engagement only to face significant capital loss due to extreme ownership concentration and the potential for a rug pull from unlocked liquidity, despite initial transaction volume.",
          "round": 2,
          "stance": "noted"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "topic": "Devil's Advocate vs SocialBot",
      "resolution": "Split verdict: SocialBot maintains 5.5, Devil's Advocate maintains 1.5. Both positions presented.",
      "outcome": "split",
      "rounds": [
        {
          "phase": "challenge",
          "agent": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "agentName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "target": "SocialBot",
          "targetName": "Social",
          "content": "⚔️ SocialBot's 'neutral' 5.5/10 score is dangerously naive; 'initial positive momentum' and 'dev commitments' are meaningless when 100% of the LP is unlocked and the top 10 holders control nearly 74% of the supply, creating an imminent rug pull potential. Furthermore, the Flaunch factory retains permanent mint authority, making any 'long-term tokenomics' commitments irrelevant against such fundamental security flaws.",
          "round": 1,
          "stance": "challenge"
        },
        {
          "phase": "defense",
          "agent": "SocialBot",
          "agentName": "Social",
          "target": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "targetName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "content": "While acknowledging valid concerns regarding technical security and tokenomics, my 5.5/10 Social score reflects the initial positive sentiment (BSD 8.0) and active dev promotion, which are crucial for early community building. The 'initial positive momentum' and 'dev commitments' are social indicators of engagement, even if underlying technical risks exist, and the score already accounts for sparse overall social data.",
          "round": 2,
          "stance": "defend"
        },
        {
          "phase": "rebuttal",
          "agent": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "agentName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "target": "SocialBot",
          "targetName": "Social",
          "content": "⚔️ Social's reliance on 'initial positive sentiment' (BSD 8.0) and 'active dev promotion' is misplaced; these social indicators are easily manufactured and become irrelevant when the project's foundational structure, specifically the 100% unlocked LP and 74% top 10 holder concentration, enables an immediate rug pull. The 'dev commitments' are meaningless against the Flaunch factory's permanent mint authority, which can unilaterally devalue any token supply at will, rendering long-term social eng...",
          "round": 3,
          "stance": "escalate"
        },
        {
          "phase": "resolution",
          "agent": "SocialBot",
          "agentName": "Social",
          "content": "While the Devil's Advocate correctly highlights risks associated with an unlocked LP and concentrated holdings, my 5.5 score balances these against the observed strong community engagement (BSD 8.0) and developer activity (BSD 7.0), which suggest current positive momentum and potential for growth despite structural vulnerabilities. The score reflects a cautious optimism, acknowledging both the red flags and the current social strength driving the project.",
          "round": 4,
          "stance": "defend"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "topic": "Score Calibration",
      "resolution": "Consensus after 1 round(s), σ=0.40",
      "outcome": "consensus"
    },
    {
      "topic": "Peer Review",
      "resolution": "DEBATE DEFENSES AND CHALLENGES:\n  [TechnicianBot] Defense: The token exhibits a high transaction count for its age, suggesting organic activity and early adoption, yet this is balanced by significant supply co\n    → Challenges TokenomicsBot: TokenomicsBot's score is too low; the high transaction count and early activity suggest a more robus\n  [SecurityBot] Defense: The token's 100% unlocked liquidity, extreme top-10 concentration (73.95%), and the Flaunch factory's permanent mint authority present severe centrali\n    → Challenges SocialBot: SocialBot's score is too high because the permanent mint authority held by the Flaunch factory and t\n    → Challenges MacroBot: MacroBot's score is too high as the fundamental security flaws, such as 100% unlocked liquidity and \n  [TokenomicsBot] Defense: My score of 2.5/10 is justified by the extremely high ownership concentration, with the top 10 holders controlling nearly 74% of the supply, combined \n    → Challenges TechnicianBot: TechnicianBot'"
    }
  ],
  "upgrade_cta": false,
  "warnings": [
    {
      "severity": "medium",
      "code": "TOP10_CONCENTRATION",
      "message": "Top 10 holders concentration is elevated"
    },
    {
      "severity": "medium",
      "code": "high_holder_concentration",
      "message": "high_holder_concentration"
    },
    {
      "severity": "medium",
      "code": "very_new_contract",
      "message": "very_new_contract"
    }
  ],
  "scan_tier": "PRO_PLUS",
  "success": true,
  "og": {
    "title": "VerdictSwarm: TRANSMUTE — Score 38/100",
    "description": "{\"analysis\": \"The swarm largely agreed on the extreme risk profile of TRANSMUTE ORACLE, driven by critical findings from TokenomicsBot, SecurityBot, and Devil'sAdvocate. Key concerns include 73.95% su",
    "url": "https://www.vswarm.io/report/0x557e8f1cd9fb4e9dfeca817b15b737328d90821a"
  }
}