UNSETTLED

Public outcome ledger

Counts include misses. The report never hides an outcome because it contradicted the original call.

RAW REPORT PAYLOAD

{
  "address": "0x407a5fb66cb1b3d50004f7091c08a27b42ba6d6f",
  "chain": "base",
  "depth": "full",
  "tier": "FREE",
  "score": 44.6,
  "grade": "D",
  "risk_level": "HIGH",
  "flags": [
    "high_holder_concentration"
  ],
  "free_tier_result": {
    "verdict": "UNHEALTHY",
    "reason": "Despite revoked authorities, the extremely high top 10 holder concentration relative to its age and liquidity, combined with a significant market cap, indicates a high risk of a developer or whale dump.",
    "label": "AI Verdict",
    "checks": {
      "contract_verified": true,
      "token_age_days": 50,
      "liquidity_usd": 439281.6,
      "holder_count": 1807,
      "has_liquidity_pool": true,
      "chain": "base"
    },
    "risk_level": "high",
    "key_findings": [
      "Top 10 holders control 87.7% of the supply, with no identified protocol-controlled wallets, suggesting high centralization among early investors or developers.",
      "The liquidity of $439K is disproportionately low compared to its $41.8M market cap, representing only 1.05% of the market cap, which is insufficient for healthy trading and exit liquidity.",
      "The token is relatively new (50 days old), making the high concentration more concerning as it hasn't had time for natural distribution.",
      "Mint and Freeze authorities are revoked, which is a positive security measure."
    ],
    "confidence": 0.9
  },
  "goplus": {
    "source": "goplus",
    "api_available": true,
    "goplus_available": true,
    "goplus_status_message": null,
    "is_mintable": false,
    "is_honeypot": false,
    "holder_count": 1807,
    "lp_holder_count": null,
    "top_10_holder_rate": 0.8765999999999999,
    "top10_holders_pct": 87.66,
    "is_open_source": true,
    "is_proxy": false,
    "lp_burned_or_locked": null,
    "security_findings": [
      {
        "source": "goplus",
        "code": "TOP10_CONCENTRATION",
        "severity": "high",
        "message": "Top 10 holders concentration is very high",
        "value": 87.66
      }
    ]
  },
  "security_findings": [
    {
      "source": "goplus",
      "code": "TOP10_CONCENTRATION",
      "severity": "high",
      "message": "Top 10 holders concentration is very high",
      "value": 87.66
    },
    {
      "source": "verdictswarm",
      "code": "VOL_LIQ_RATIO",
      "severity": "critical",
      "message": "24h volume/liquidity ratio is 48.25:1 — elevated wash-trading/manipulation risk",
      "value": 48.25,
      "metric": {
        "name": "vol_liq_ratio",
        "display_name": "Volume/Liquidity Ratio",
        "value": 48.25,
        "unit": "x",
        "volume_24h": 21197448,
        "liquidity_usd": 439281.6,
        "threshold_high": 10,
        "threshold_critical": 20
      }
    }
  ],
  "scanned_at": "2026-04-02T10:00:23.802710Z",
  "cached": false,
  "cached_at": null,
  "liquidity_exposure_cap_usd": 3294.61,
  "summary": "Robo Token (ROBO) is a base token with $41.8M market cap, 50 days old.  Key concerns: tokenomics concerns. Overall verdict: D — high risk — significant concerns identified.",
  "token": {
    "vol_liq_ratio": 48.25,
    "name": "Robo Token",
    "symbol": "ROBO",
    "chain": "base",
    "price_usd": 0.01874577,
    "mcap": 41822004,
    "market_cap": 41822004,
    "volume_24h": 21197448,
    "liquidity_usd": 439281.6,
    "contract_age_days": 50,
    "contract_verified": true,
    "holder_count": 1807,
    "top10_holders_pct": 87.66,
    "holders_by_acquisition": null,
    "holder_change_24h": null,
    "holder_change_7d": null,
    "holder_change_30d": null,
    "holder_supply_top10_pct": null,
    "holder_supply_top25_pct": null,
    "holder_supply_top50_pct": null,
    "holder_supply_top100_pct": null,
    "exchange_wallet_pct": null,
    "net_exchange_flow_24h_usd": null,
    "top_holders": null,
    "top10_whale_pct": null,
    "top10_protocol_pct": null,
    "mint_authority": null,
    "freeze_authority": null,
    "mutable_metadata": null,
    "lp_burned_or_locked": null,
    "lp_locked_pct": null,
    "lp_burned_pct": null,
    "lp_unlocked_pct": null,
    "lp_lock_expiry": null,
    "lp_locker_name": null,
    "social_links": {
      "website": "https://fabric.foundation/blog/introducing-robo",
      "twitter": "https://x.com/FabricFND"
    },
    "creator_balance_pct": null,
    "authority_governance": null,
    "goplus_trusted": true,
    "goplus_available": true,
    "goplus_status_message": null,
    "bundle_detected": false,
    "is_honeypot": false
  },
  "bots": {
    "TechnicianBot": {
      "score": 5,
      "sentiment": "neutral",
      "category": "Technical",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI on-chain (GPT-4o Mini); Robo Token exhibits a mixed on-chain health profile characterized by a high concentration of holders and limited DEX liquidity, despite significant total trading volume across multiple exchanges. The activity level is moderate, but the structural fragility indicated by top holder concentration raises concerns about long-term stability.",
        "positives": [
          "Listed on 27 exchanges, providing broad market access",
          "Total trading volume of $21.2 million indicates strong interest",
          "Verified contract with a reasonable age of 50 days"
        ],
        "concerns": [
          "Top 10 holders control 87.7% of the token supply, indicating extreme concentration",
          "DEX liquidity is thin at $439,281.60, which may affect on-chain trading",
          "Price has decreased by 10.29% in the last 24 hours and 22.25% over the past week",
          "confidence 0.75"
        ],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.75
    },
    "DevilsAdvocate": {
      "score": 3,
      "sentiment": "bearish",
      "category": "Contrarian",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI contrarian (Gemini 2.5 Flash) [NEUTRAL contrarian]; Despite CEX listings and a 'known established project' status, Robo Token's extreme supply concentration, unknown LP lock, and unknown mint authority present critical, unaddressed risks. The low on-chain liquidity relative to its market cap and CEX volume suggests a highly fragile and potentially manipulated market. These fundamental security and distribution flaws make the token a high-risk investment, especially in a risk-off environment.; risks: Extreme centralization: Top 10 holders control 87.66% of the supply, posing a significant risk of price manipulation or rug pull., Unknown LP lock status: Lack of transparency on LP lock means liquidity can be removed at any time, leading to a rug pull., Unknown mint authority: The ability to mint new tokens could lead to inflationary attacks or dilution of existing holders., Low on-chain liquidity relative to market cap: The $439k on-chain liquidity is insufficient to support the $41.8M market cap, making the token highly illiquid on-chain and vulnerable to large price swings., Discrepancy between CEX volume and on-chain fundamentals: High CEX volume might mask underlying on-chain fragility and potential manipulation.; open questions: Exact identity and intentions of the top 10 holders., Specific details of the 'utility' and how it's being implemented given the security concerns., The project's plan to address the extreme centralization and unknown security parameters.; confidence 0.90",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.9
    },
    "TokenomicsBot": {
      "score": 4.5,
      "sentiment": "neutral",
      "category": "Tokenomics",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI tokenomics (Gemini 2.5 Flash); The token exhibits a dangerous combination of extremely high insider concentration (Top 10 holders control 87.66%) and significant future dilution risk, with a low MCap/FDV ratio of 0.22. While it boasts impressive exchange listings and high trading volume ($21.2M), the on-chain liquidity is negligible ($439k) relative to its $41.8M market cap, making it highly susceptible to volatility and insider manipulation.; unlock risk 78/100; + Exceptional Exchange Listings: Presence on major exchanges like Binance, Coinbase, OKX, and Bybit provides significant accessibility and legitimacy., High Trading Volume: $21.2M in daily volume suggests strong current trading interest and market maker support., Strong Narrative Alignment: The 'AI' and 'Robotics' categories are currently high-interest sectors, attracting speculative attention.; risks: Extreme Holder Concentration: Top 10 holders control 87.66%, creating massive centralization and manipulation risk., Severe Dilution Overhang: The MCap/FDV ratio of 0.22 indicates that over 77% of the total supply is yet to enter circulation, posing significant long-term sell pressure., Thin On-Chain Liquidity: The LP/MCap ratio is a mere 1.1%, meaning the on-chain market cannot absorb significant sell orders without severe price impact., Valuation Mismatch: The $41.8M market cap is not supported by a healthy, distributed holder base, making the valuation appear speculative and fragile.; confidence 0.85",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.85
    },
    "MacroBot": {
      "score": 4,
      "sentiment": "bearish",
      "category": "Macro",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI macro (Grok); Robo Token exhibits high downside beta in the risk-off regime, underperforming BTC (-3.2%) and ETH (-4.4%) with -10.3% 24h and -22.3% 7d moves amid Extreme Fear (12/100). Extreme top-10 holder concentration (87.7%) and thin DEX liquidity ($439k) amplify fragility despite decent CEX volume ($21M, 0.5x MCAP) across 27 exchanges. AI/robotics narrative offers no near-term catalysts in current sentiment, positioning it weaker than L1 benchmarks and AI peers with TVL down 1% on Base.; drivers: Listed on 27 major exchanges (Binance, Coinbase) supporting CEX volume resilience, Multi-chain presence (Base, ETH, BNB) diversifies some liquidity sources, AI/robotics sector has long-term macro appeal despite current weakness; risks: 87.7% supply in top-10 holders creates extreme dump vulnerability, High FDV/MCAP (0.22) signals dilution overhang in risk-off, Higher BTC/ETH beta evident in outsized drawdowns; confidence 0.65",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.65
    },
    "SecurityBot": {
      "score": 5,
      "sentiment": "bullish",
      "category": "Safety",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI security (Claude Sonnet 4.5); ROBO on Base is a verified LayerZero OFT (Omnichain Fungible Token) deployment with 50 days of operating history, $41.8M market cap, and listings on major exchanges including Binance, Coinbase, and OKX. The contract is verified and uses standard LayerZero V2 infrastructure for cross-chain bridging. Primary risks stem from limited on-chain liquidity ($439K vs $41.8M mcap), high top-10 holder concentration (87.66%), and incomplete visibility into LP lock status and governance controls. The token has demonstrated operational stability across multiple chains with significant exchange adoption, but Base-specific liquidity depth is concerning. No critical exploitability flags are present in the visible contract code, which implements standard OFT patterns without obvious honeypot mechanics or rug vectors. The risk-off market regime amplifies liquidity concerns.; risks: Liquidity mismatch: Only $439K on-chain liquidity against $41.8M mcap creates significant slippage risk and potential for localized price manipulation on Base, High holder concentration: Top 10 holders control 87.66% of supply, creating centralization risk and potential for coordinated selling pressure, LP status unknown: No data on whether Base liquidity is locked, burned, or controlled by team/insiders — critical for assessing rug risk on this specific chain, Governance visibility gap: Creator address and admin key structure not provided; cannot verify whether minting, pausing, or upgrade capabilities exist beyond standard OFT functions; confidence 0.65",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.65
    },
    "SocialBot": {
      "score": 3.8,
      "sentiment": "bearish",
      "category": "Social",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "X/Twitter sentiment (Grok); sub-scores: OE=2.0, IQ=2.0, CG=4.0, BSD=8.0; Social presence for $ROBO is minimal with sparse recent X discussions. Official @FabricFND account has credible setup (21k followers, verified) but shows no recent activity. Mixed signals include minor whale buys, net sells, and incidental bullish mentions amid AI/robotics narrative, but overshadowed by low engagement and unrelated token confusions.; narratives: AI and robotics infrastructure, Decentralized autonomous economic agents; fake/coordination risk: 2/100; confidence 0.45",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.45
    }
  },
  "consensus_narrative": "{\"analysis\": \"The swarm largely agreed Robo Token presents a high-risk profile due to extreme top-holder concentration (87.66% by TokenomicsBot) and critically low DEX liquidity ($439k flagged by TechnicianBot and MacroBot), despite impressive CEX volume ($21.2M) and 27 exchange listings. Key disagreements arose between SecurityBot's initial higher safety assessment and the structural concerns raised by DevilsAdvocate and TokenomicsBot regarding manipulation potential. The final D grade (4.5/10) reflects this consensus on fragility and susceptibility to insider influence, making it a highly speculative asset. Exercise extreme caution due to severe concentration and liquidity risks.\"}",
  "debates": [
    {
      "topic": "Safety vs Technical",
      "resolution": "This conflict highlights a critical divergence between external legitimacy and internal market health, creating a deceptive risk profile for investors. While SafetyBot indicates broad adoption and security, TechnicianBot reveals underlying structural vulnerabilities like concentrated ownership and poor liquidity, which can lead to price instability and manipulation despite outward appearances of success.",
      "outcome": "noted",
      "rounds": [
        {
          "phase": "challenge",
          "agent": "TechnicianBot",
          "agentName": "Technician",
          "target": "SecurityBot",
          "targetName": "Security",
          "content": "Cross-category conflict: Technical scored 5.0/10 while Safety scored 7.5/10. This 2.5-point gap suggests the token's strengths in Safety may not translate to Technical reliability.",
          "round": 1,
          "stance": "challenge"
        },
        {
          "phase": "resolution",
          "agent": "TechnicianBot",
          "agentName": "Technician",
          "content": "This conflict highlights a critical divergence between external legitimacy and internal market health, creating a deceptive risk profile for investors. While SafetyBot indicates broad adoption and security, TechnicianBot reveals underlying structural vulnerabilities like concentrated ownership and poor liquidity, which can lead to price instability and manipulation despite outward appearances of success.",
          "round": 2,
          "stance": "noted"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "topic": "Devil's Advocate vs SecurityBot",
      "resolution": "Split verdict: SecurityBot maintains 7.5, Devil's Advocate maintains 3.0. Both positions presented.",
      "outcome": "split",
      "rounds": [
        {
          "phase": "challenge",
          "agent": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "agentName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "target": "SecurityBot",
          "targetName": "Security",
          "content": "⚔️ SecurityBot's 7.5/10 score is dangerously optimistic, given its own admission of 'primary risks' including 87.66% top-10 holder concentration and only $439K on-chain liquidity against a $41.8M market cap. These aren't 'primary risks' to be casually noted; they are fundamental, unaddressed security flaws, as highlighted by TokenomicsBot and MacroBot, pointing to extreme fragility and manipulation potential, rendering 'verified contract' status largely moot.",
          "round": 1,
          "stance": "challenge"
        },
        {
          "phase": "defense",
          "agent": "SecurityBot",
          "agentName": "Security",
          "target": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "targetName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "content": "While acknowledging the valid concerns regarding high holder concentration and limited on-chain liquidity, the 7.5/10 score is justified by ROBO's verified LayerZero OFT status, standard V2 infrastructure, 50-day operational stability across chains, and crucial listings on major exchanges like Binance, Coinbase, and OKX. These exchange listings significantly mitigate liquidity concerns and manipulation potential by providing off-chain depth, demonstrating a level of institutional vetting and accessibility that bolsters overall security despite on-chain metrics.",
          "round": 2,
          "stance": "defend"
        },
        {
          "phase": "rebuttal",
          "agent": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "agentName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "target": "SecurityBot",
          "targetName": "Security",
          "content": "⚔️ LayerZero OFT status and V2 infrastructure do not magically dilute 87.66% top-10 holder concentration or inflate the mere $439K on-chain liquidity against a $41.8M market cap. Exchange listings, while adding some liquidity, do not eliminate the fundamental risk of whale-driven manipulation or a concentrated sell-off that could devastate the token far beyond any CEX's ability to absorb it.",
          "round": 3,
          "stance": "escalate"
        },
        {
          "phase": "resolution",
          "agent": "SecurityBot",
          "agentName": "Security",
          "content": "While acknowledging the significant top-10 holder concentration and low on-chain liquidity as valid concerns, my 7.5/10 score reflects the robust LayerZero V2 infrastructure and OFT status, which inherently enhance security through proven cross-chain standards and auditing. These foundational strengths mitigate some market manipulation risks by fostering broader, more secure adoption and eventual liquidity growth via diverse exchange listings.",
          "round": 4,
          "stance": "defend"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "topic": "Score Calibration",
      "resolution": "Consensus after 2 round(s), σ=0.50",
      "outcome": "consensus"
    },
    {
      "topic": "Peer Review",
      "resolution": "DEBATE DEFENSES AND CHALLENGES:\n  [SocialBot] Defense: The social presence for $ROBO is severely lacking, with minimal recent X discussions and an inactive official account, which significantly drags down \n    → Challenges SecurityBot: SecurityBot's score is too high because strong security, while crucial, does not compensate for the \n  [TokenomicsBot] Defense: The token presents a high-risk profile due to extreme insider concentration (Top 10 holders control 87.66%) and substantial future dilution risk (MCap\n    → Challenges SecurityBot: SecurityBot's score of 7.5/10 is overly optimistic, as it likely overlooks the severe risks posed by\n  [TechnicianBot] Defense: My score of 5.0/10 reflects a balanced view, acknowledging the significant total trading volume ($21.2 million) and broad exchange listings (27 exchan\n    → Challenges MacroBot: MacroBot's score is too low; the substantial trading volume and wide exchange availability demonstra\n    → Challenges SecurityBot: SecurityBot's scor"
    }
  ],
  "upgrade_cta": false,
  "warnings": [
    {
      "severity": "high",
      "code": "TOP10_CONCENTRATION",
      "message": "Top 10 holders concentration is very high"
    },
    {
      "severity": "critical",
      "code": "VOL_LIQ_RATIO",
      "message": "24h volume/liquidity ratio is 48.25:1 — elevated wash-trading/manipulation risk"
    },
    {
      "severity": "medium",
      "code": "high_holder_concentration",
      "message": "high_holder_concentration"
    }
  ],
  "scan_tier": "PRO_PLUS",
  "success": true,
  "og": {
    "title": "VerdictSwarm: ROBO — Score 45/100",
    "description": "{\"analysis\": \"The swarm largely agreed Robo Token presents a high-risk profile due to extreme top-holder concentration (87.66% by TokenomicsBot) and critically low DEX liquidity ($439k flagged by Tech",
    "url": "https://www.vswarm.io/report/0x407a5fb66cb1b3d50004f7091c08a27b42ba6d6f"
  }
}