UNSETTLED

Public outcome ledger

Counts include misses. The report never hides an outcome because it contradicted the original call.

RAW REPORT PAYLOAD

{
  "address": "0x1111111111166b7fe7bd91427724b487980afc69",
  "chain": "base",
  "depth": "full",
  "tier": "FREE",
  "score": 56.3,
  "grade": "D",
  "risk_level": "HIGH",
  "flags": [],
  "free_tier_result": {
    "verdict": "UNHEALTHY",
    "reason": "6 agents analyzed this token. Tokenomics was the lone dissenter (scored 6.8/10 vs swarm average 5.2).\n⚖️ Safety vs Social: This conflict highlights a critical divergence between technical soundness and market perception, which is crucial for investor decision-making. While strong security protects against exploits, poor social sentiment can hinder adoption, price appreciation, and long-term viability, regardless of underlying safety.\n⚖️ Devil's Advocate vs TokenomicsBot: Compromise: 6.8 → 5.4\nMost optimistic: Tokenomics (6.8/10) — AI tokenomics (Gemini 2.\nMost critical: Devil's Advocate (4.0/10) — AI contrarian (Gemini 2.",
    "label": "AI Verdict",
    "checks": {
      "contract_verified": true,
      "token_age_days": 423,
      "liquidity_usd": 683884.88,
      "holder_count": 1091415,
      "has_liquidity_pool": true,
      "chain": "base"
    },
    "risk_level": "high",
    "key_findings": [
      "Token is 423 days old, indicating longevity and stability.",
      "Market Cap of $58.3M with 1,091,415 holders suggests a widely distributed and adopted asset.",
      "Mint and Freeze authorities are both revoked, eliminating critical central control risks.",
      "Liquidity of $684K is low relative to the $58.3M market cap (1.17%), which could lead to higher price impact for large trades, but is not uncommon for tokens with high market cap and broad distribution.",
      "Top 10 concentration at 59.5% is high, but without a breakdown of protocol vs. individual wallets, it's difficult to assess the risk; however, given the token's age and distribution, it's less likely to be a developer dump.",
      "RugCheck data is N/A, which is neutral and expected for well-known assets that may not be covered by its specific SPL token focus."
    ],
    "confidence": 0.9
  },
  "goplus": {
    "source": "goplus",
    "api_available": true,
    "goplus_available": true,
    "goplus_status_message": null,
    "is_mintable": false,
    "is_honeypot": false,
    "holder_count": 1091415,
    "lp_holder_count": 73,
    "top_10_holder_rate": 0.595,
    "top10_holders_pct": 59.5,
    "is_open_source": true,
    "is_proxy": false,
    "lp_burned_or_locked": null,
    "security_findings": [
      {
        "source": "goplus",
        "code": "GOPLUS_OK",
        "severity": "info",
        "message": "No critical GoPlus security flags detected"
      }
    ]
  },
  "security_findings": [
    {
      "source": "goplus",
      "code": "GOPLUS_OK",
      "severity": "info",
      "message": "No critical GoPlus security flags detected"
    },
    {
      "source": "verdictswarm",
      "code": "VOL_LIQ_RATIO",
      "severity": "high",
      "message": "24h volume/liquidity ratio is 14.41:1 — elevated wash-trading/manipulation risk",
      "value": 14.41,
      "metric": {
        "name": "vol_liq_ratio",
        "display_name": "Volume/Liquidity Ratio",
        "value": 14.41,
        "unit": "x",
        "volume_24h": 9852985,
        "liquidity_usd": 683884.88,
        "threshold_high": 10,
        "threshold_critical": 20
      }
    }
  ],
  "scanned_at": "2026-04-28T02:23:30.509598Z",
  "cached": false,
  "cached_at": null,
  "liquidity_exposure_cap_usd": 5129.14,
  "summary": "Zora (ZORA) is a well-established base token with $58.3M market cap, 1+ years old.  The swarm found a balanced risk-reward profile with no extreme outliers. Overall verdict: D — high risk — significant concerns identified.",
  "token": {
    "vol_liq_ratio": 14.41,
    "name": "Zora",
    "symbol": "ZORA",
    "chain": "base",
    "price_usd": 0.0130039,
    "mcap": 58293663,
    "market_cap": 58293663,
    "volume_24h": 9852985,
    "liquidity_usd": 683884.88,
    "contract_age_days": 423,
    "contract_verified": true,
    "holder_count": 1091415,
    "top10_holders_pct": 59.5,
    "holders_by_acquisition": null,
    "holder_change_24h": null,
    "holder_change_7d": null,
    "holder_change_30d": null,
    "holder_supply_top10_pct": null,
    "holder_supply_top25_pct": null,
    "holder_supply_top50_pct": null,
    "holder_supply_top100_pct": null,
    "exchange_wallet_pct": null,
    "net_exchange_flow_24h_usd": null,
    "top_holders": null,
    "top10_whale_pct": null,
    "top10_protocol_pct": null,
    "mint_authority": null,
    "freeze_authority": null,
    "mutable_metadata": null,
    "lp_burned_or_locked": "unlocked",
    "lp_locked_pct": 0,
    "lp_burned_pct": 0,
    "lp_unlocked_pct": 93.65,
    "lp_lock_expiry": null,
    "lp_locker_name": null,
    "social_links": {
      "website": "https://zora.co",
      "twitter": "https://x.com/zora"
    },
    "creator_balance_pct": null,
    "authority_governance": null,
    "goplus_trusted": true,
    "goplus_available": true,
    "goplus_status_message": null,
    "bundle_detected": false,
    "is_honeypot": false
  },
  "bots": {
    "TokenomicsBot": {
      "score": 6.8,
      "sentiment": "bullish",
      "category": "Tokenomics",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI tokenomics (Gemini 2.5 Flash); Zora exhibits a mixed tokenomics profile. While the top 10 holders control a significant 59.5% of the supply, the token boasts an exceptionally high holder count of over 1 million, suggesting broad distribution beyond the concentrated top tier. The MCap/FDV ratio of 0.448 indicates a substantial future unlock or emission schedule, posing a dilution risk, though specific vesting details are missing. Liquidity appears robust with $9.9M in 24h all-venue volume across 54 exchanges, despite a low DEX single-pair LP/MCap ratio.; unlock risk 75/100; + Exceptionally high holder count (1,091,415) indicates very broad distribution and community engagement., Strong liquidity with $9.9M in 24h all-venue volume and listings on 54 reputable exchanges, including Coinbase and Bybit., Project is a known, established L2 network (Zora) with significant ecosystem activity.; risks: High top 10 holder concentration (59.5%) could lead to significant sell pressure or governance centralization., Substantial dilution risk indicated by the MCap/FDV ratio of 0.448, with specific vesting and emission schedules unknown., Uncertainty regarding the nature of the top holder concentration (insiders vs. strategic partners vs. exchange wallets)., LP unlocked status (93.65%) could expose the token to liquidity withdrawal risks, though overall exchange breadth mitigates this.; confidence 0.85",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.85,
      "structured_findings": {
        "summary": "Zora exhibits a mixed tokenomics profile. While the top 10 holders control a significant 59.5% of the supply, the token boasts an exceptionally high holder count of over 1 million, suggesting broad distribution beyond the concentrated top tier. The MCap/FDV ratio of 0.448 indicates a substantial future unlock or emission schedule, posing a dilution risk, though specific vesting details are missing. Liquidity appears robust with $9.9M in 24h all-venue volume across 54 exchanges, despite a low DEX single-pair LP/MCap ratio.",
        "key_risks": [
          "High top 10 holder concentration (59.5%) could lead to significant sell pressure or governance centralization.",
          "Substantial dilution risk indicated by the MCap/FDV ratio of 0.448, with specific vesting and emission schedules unknown.",
          "Uncertainty regarding the nature of the top holder concentration (insiders vs. strategic partners vs. exchange wallets).",
          "LP unlocked status (93.65%) could expose the token to liquidity withdrawal risks, though overall exchange breadth mitigates this.",
          "Lack of detailed vesting schedules and allocations prevents a precise assessment of future supply shocks."
        ],
        "positives": [
          "Exceptionally high holder count (1,091,415) indicates very broad distribution and community engagement.",
          "Strong liquidity with $9.9M in 24h all-venue volume and listings on 54 reputable exchanges, including Coinbase and Bybit.",
          "Project is a known, established L2 network (Zora) with significant ecosystem activity.",
          "Mature project age (423 days) suggests some stability and resilience."
        ],
        "unlock_risk": 75,
        "distribution_assessment": "The distribution presents a dichotomy: a high concentration among the top 10 holders (59.5%) alongside an extremely broad base of over 1 million unique holders. This suggests a potential initial large allocation to strategic partners or early investors, followed by a very successful and wide distribution to the general public, possibly through airdrops or ecosystem incentives. The high holder count is a strong positive for decentralization and community engagement, mitigating some of the concerns from the top-heavy concentration.",
        "comparable_models": {
          "successful": [
            "Arbitrum (ARB)",
            "Optimism (OP)"
          ],
          "failed": []
        },
        "confidence": 0.85,
        "mcap": 58293663,
        "fdv": 130072902,
        "mcap_fdv_ratio": 0.448,
        "top10_holders_pct": 59.5,
        "holder_count": 1091415,
        "liquidity_usd": 683884.88,
        "liquidity_mcap_ratio": 0.0117
      }
    },
    "TechnicianBot": {
      "score": 6,
      "sentiment": "neutral",
      "category": "Technical",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI on-chain (GPT-4o Mini); Zora exhibits a strong holder base with over 1 million holders, but the top 10 holders control a significant 59.5% of the supply, indicating potential concentration risks. While the total trading volume is robust, the DEX liquidity is thin, suggesting that on-chain trading may be less reliable despite the overall market presence.",
        "positives": [
          "High holder count of 1,091,415 indicates broad interest",
          "Total 24h trading volume of $9.9M shows strong market activity",
          "Contract is verified and has been operational for 423 days, indicating maturity"
        ],
        "concerns": [
          "Top 10 holders control 59.5% of the token supply, indicating high concentration",
          "DEX single-pair volume is only $292,788.33, suggesting thin liquidity on-chain",
          "Price has decreased by 8.59% in the last 24 hours, indicating potential volatility",
          "confidence 0.25"
        ],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.25,
      "structured_findings": {
        "summary": "Zora exhibits a strong holder base with over 1 million holders, but the top 10 holders control a significant 59.5% of the supply, indicating potential concentration risks. While the total trading volume is robust, the DEX liquidity is thin, suggesting that on-chain trading may be less reliable despite the overall market presence.",
        "positives": [
          "High holder count of 1,091,415 indicates broad interest.",
          "Total 24h trading volume of $9.9M shows strong market activity.",
          "Contract is verified and has been operational for 423 days, indicating maturity.",
          "Listed on 54 exchanges, providing significant venue breadth."
        ],
        "negatives": [
          "Top 10 holders control 59.5% of the token supply, indicating high concentration.",
          "DEX single-pair volume is only $292,788.33, suggesting thin liquidity on-chain.",
          "Price has decreased by 8.59% in the last 24 hours, indicating potential volatility.",
          "7-day volatility is low at 1.31%, which may suggest a lack of trading momentum."
        ],
        "anomaly_flags": [],
        "confidence": 0.25,
        "contract_age_days": 423,
        "tx_count_24h": 8388,
        "volume_24h": 9852985,
        "price_usd": 0.0130039
      }
    },
    "MacroBot": {
      "score": 4.5,
      "sentiment": "neutral",
      "category": "Macro",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI macro (Grok); Zora is currently facing significant liquidity challenges and is underperforming its sector amidst a neutral market regime characterized by fear. While its positioning in the NFT and media space offers potential, the low trading volume and high holder concentration raise concerns about its resilience in a downturn.; drivers: Established project with a growing holder base (1,091,415 holders), Diverse categorization within infrastructure and media sectors, Potential for recovery if NFT market sentiment improves; risks: Low liquidity profile with a volume-to-market cap ratio indicating illiquidity, High concentration of top holders (59.5%) increases vulnerability to sell-offs, Current market sentiment is fearful (Fear & Greed Index at 33); confidence 0.40",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.4,
      "structured_findings": {
        "summary": "Zora is currently facing significant liquidity challenges and is underperforming its sector amidst a neutral market regime characterized by fear. While its positioning in the NFT and media space offers potential, the low trading volume and high holder concentration raise concerns about its resilience in a downturn.",
        "key_drivers": [
          "Established project with a growing holder base (1,091,415 holders)",
          "Diverse categorization within infrastructure and media sectors",
          "Potential for recovery if NFT market sentiment improves",
          "Strong backing from notable investors (Coinbase Ventures, Binance Alpha Spotlight)"
        ],
        "key_risks": [
          "Low liquidity profile with a volume-to-market cap ratio indicating illiquidity",
          "High concentration of top holders (59.5%) increases vulnerability to sell-offs",
          "Current market sentiment is fearful (Fear & Greed Index at 33)",
          "Sector health is declining with TVL down 1.6% in the base infrastructure category"
        ],
        "correlations": {
          "btc": "underperforming",
          "eth": "underperforming",
          "rates": "neutral",
          "dxy": "neutral"
        },
        "sector_outlook": "The infrastructure and NFT sectors are currently under pressure, with Zora's performance lagging behind peers. The overall market sentiment is bearish, which could hinder recovery efforts in the near term.",
        "confidence": 0.4,
        "volume_24h": 9852985,
        "mcap": 58293663
      }
    },
    "SecurityBot": {
      "score": 6,
      "sentiment": "neutral",
      "category": "Safety",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI security (gpt-4o-mini); Zora's security posture is moderately secure, with some privileges that could pose risks but are somewhat mitigated by the project's maturity and established market presence. The lack of critical flags is a positive sign, but the unlocked liquidity and concentration among top holders warrant caution.; risks: Initializer account has minting privileges, which could be exploited if compromised., Liquidity is largely unlocked (93.65%), posing a risk of sudden liquidity drain., Top 10 holders control 59.5% of the supply, indicating potential centralization risks., No formal audit available, which raises concerns about undiscovered vulnerabilities.; confidence 0.70",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.7,
      "structured_findings": {
        "summary": "Zora's security posture is moderately secure, with some privileges that could pose risks but are somewhat mitigated by the project's maturity and established market presence. The lack of critical flags is a positive sign, but the unlocked liquidity and concentration among top holders warrant caution.",
        "key_risks": [
          "Initializer account has minting privileges, which could be exploited if compromised.",
          "Liquidity is largely unlocked (93.65%), posing a risk of sudden liquidity drain.",
          "Top 10 holders control 59.5% of the supply, indicating potential centralization risks.",
          "No formal audit available, which raises concerns about undiscovered vulnerabilities.",
          "Market regime is neutral, indicating potential volatility in holder sentiment."
        ],
        "critical_flags": [],
        "confidence": 0.7,
        "mint_authority": null,
        "freeze_authority": null,
        "lp_status": "unlocked",
        "contract_verified": true
      }
    },
    "DevilsAdvocate": {
      "score": 4,
      "sentiment": "neutral",
      "category": "Contrarian",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "AI contrarian (Gemini 2.5 Flash) [NEUTRAL contrarian]; Despite its association with a prominent L2, the ZORA token exhibits fundamental security and decentralization flaws that are unaddressed. The combination of 0% LP lock, unknown mint authority, and highly concentrated ownership creates a high-risk profile where a small group could unilaterally devalue or manipulate the token. These are not minor issues but critical vulnerabilities that severely undermine its long-term viability and trustworthiness.; risks: 0% LP lock on DEXs, exposing liquidity to immediate withdrawal and potential rug pull., Unknown mint authority, posing an unmitigated risk of arbitrary token inflation and devaluation., High ownership concentration (59.5% in top 10 holders), enabling potential price manipulation or governance capture., Reliance on CEX liquidity without robust on-chain security, creating a single point of failure., Lack of transparency regarding core tokenomics and supply control mechanisms.; open questions: The true nature and control of the mint authority., The identity and intentions of the top 10 holders., The project's plan to address the 0% LP lock and decentralize ownership.; confidence 0.90",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.9
    },
    "SocialBot": {
      "score": 4,
      "sentiment": "neutral",
      "category": "Social",
      "reasoning": {
        "summary": "X/Twitter sentiment (Grok); sub-scores: OE=3.0, IQ=4.0, CG=3.0, BSD=8.0; Limited recent X activity for established Zora ($ZORA) L2 NFT project. Sparse mentions include a small whale buy and negative associations with pump-dump schemes by some callers, contrasting CoinGecko's 100% positive community sentiment and 17k watchlist users. No official recent posts or community links detected.; narratives: Pump-dump playbook associations despite established status; fake/coordination risk: 2/100; confidence 0.35",
        "positives": [],
        "concerns": [],
        "flags": []
      },
      "confidence": 0.35,
      "structured_findings": {
        "summary": "Limited recent X activity for established Zora ($ZORA) L2 NFT project. Sparse mentions include a small whale buy and negative associations with pump-dump schemes by some callers, contrasting CoinGecko's 100% positive community sentiment and 17k watchlist users. No official recent posts or community links detected.",
        "fake_engagement_risk": 2,
        "narratives": [
          "Pump-dump playbook associations despite established status"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.35,
        "sub_dimensions": {
          "organic_engagement": {
            "score": 3,
            "rationale": "Very few recent posts (4 total), low engagement levels (e.g., 82 likes max), no high-volume discussion.",
            "weight": 0.4
          },
          "influencer_quality": {
            "score": 4,
            "rationale": "Mentions from crypto callers (@MasterCryptoHq claims 1.5M fam, @Talal_BNB) but in negative pump-dump contexts; one whale alert account.",
            "weight": 0.25
          },
          "community_growth": {
            "score": 3,
            "rationale": "No growth metrics available; pre-fetched Twitter data null, sparse live signals.",
            "weight": 0.2
          },
          "bot_spam_detection": {
            "score": 8,
            "rationale": "No evidence of bot coordination or spam in limited results.",
            "weight": 0.15
          }
        }
      }
    }
  },
  "consensus_narrative": "6 agents analyzed this token. Tokenomics was the lone dissenter (scored 6.8/10 vs swarm average 5.2).\n⚖️ Safety vs Social: This conflict highlights a critical divergence between technical soundness and market perception, which is crucial for investor decision-making. While strong security protects against exploits, poor social sentiment can hinder adoption, price appreciation, and long-term viability, regardless of underlying safety.\n⚖️ Devil's Advocate vs TokenomicsBot: Compromise: 6.8 → 5.4\nMost optimistic: Tokenomics (6.8/10) — AI tokenomics (Gemini 2.\nMost critical: Devil's Advocate (4.0/10) — AI contrarian (Gemini 2.",
  "debates": [
    {
      "topic": "Safety vs Social",
      "resolution": "This conflict highlights a critical divergence between technical soundness and market perception, which is crucial for investor decision-making. While strong security protects against exploits, poor social sentiment can hinder adoption, price appreciation, and long-term viability, regardless of underlying safety.",
      "outcome": "noted",
      "rounds": [
        {
          "phase": "challenge",
          "agent": "SocialBot",
          "agentName": "Social",
          "target": "SecurityBot",
          "targetName": "Security",
          "content": "Cross-category conflict: Social scored 4.0/10 while Safety scored 6.0/10. This 2.0-point gap suggests the token's strengths in Safety may not translate to Social reliability.",
          "round": 1,
          "stance": "challenge"
        },
        {
          "phase": "resolution",
          "agent": "SocialBot",
          "agentName": "Social",
          "content": "This conflict highlights a critical divergence between technical soundness and market perception, which is crucial for investor decision-making. While strong security protects against exploits, poor social sentiment can hinder adoption, price appreciation, and long-term viability, regardless of underlying safety.",
          "round": 2,
          "stance": "noted"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "topic": "Devil's Advocate vs TokenomicsBot",
      "resolution": "Compromise: 6.8 → 5.4",
      "outcome": "compromise",
      "rounds": [
        {
          "phase": "challenge",
          "agent": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "agentName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "target": "TokenomicsBot",
          "targetName": "Tokenomics",
          "content": "⚔️ TokenomicsBot's optimism ignores the critical vulnerability of 59.5% supply concentration among the top 10 holders, which fundamentally undermines 'broad distribution' and enables potential market manipulation regardless of total holder count. Furthermore, labeling liquidity as 'robust' with $9.9M volume is misleading when other analyses explicitly state 'thin DEX liquidity' and 'low trading volume,' indicating a significant on-chain risk.",
          "round": 1,
          "stance": "challenge"
        },
        {
          "phase": "defense",
          "agent": "TokenomicsBot",
          "agentName": "Tokenomics",
          "target": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "targetName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "content": "While acknowledging the significant 59.5% top 10 holder concentration as a risk, my analysis correctly balances this with the token's exceptionally broad reach of over 1 million holders, indicating widespread adoption beyond initial distribution. The $9.9M 24h all-venue volume across 54 exchanges is indeed robust for overall liquidity, even if DEX-specific liquidity is noted as low, and the 0.448 MCap/FDV ratio explicitly flags dilution risk, justifying a balanced 6.8/10 score that incorporates both strengths and identified weaknesses.",
          "round": 2,
          "stance": "defend"
        },
        {
          "phase": "rebuttal",
          "agent": "DevilsAdvocate",
          "agentName": "Devil's Advocate",
          "target": "TokenomicsBot",
          "targetName": "Tokenomics",
          "content": "⚔️ The 'exceptionally broad reach' of 1 million holders is largely irrelevant when 59.5% of the supply remains concentrated in just 10 wallets, fundamentally compromising decentralization and enabling market manipulation regardless of nominal holder count. Furthermore, an 'overall robust' $9.9M 24h volume is critically undermined by admitted 'low DEX liquidity,' which is where true price discovery and censorship resistance should occur, making the token vulnerable to centralized exchange whims.",
          "round": 3,
          "stance": "escalate"
        },
        {
          "phase": "resolution",
          "agent": "TokenomicsBot",
          "agentName": "Tokenomics",
          "content": "The severe concentration of 59.5% of the supply in only 10 wallets fundamentally undermines decentralization and introduces significant market manipulation risk, rendering the high holder count less impactful than initially assessed.",
          "round": 4,
          "stance": "compromise"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "upgrade_cta": false,
  "warnings": [
    {
      "severity": "high",
      "code": "VOL_LIQ_RATIO",
      "message": "24h volume/liquidity ratio is 14.41:1 — elevated wash-trading/manipulation risk"
    },
    {
      "severity": "info",
      "code": "GOPLUS_OK",
      "message": "No critical GoPlus security flags detected"
    }
  ],
  "scan_tier": "PRO",
  "success": true,
  "og": {
    "title": "VerdictSwarm: ZORA — Score 56/100",
    "description": "6 agents analyzed this token. Tokenomics was the lone dissenter (scored 6.8/10 vs swarm average 5.2).\n⚖️ Safety vs Social: This conflict highlights a critical divergence between technical soundness an",
    "url": "https://www.vswarm.io/report/0x1111111111166b7fe7bd91427724b487980afc69"
  }
}